Match Info

Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Pensativo (Antigua Guatemala) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:10	FOX Sports


	Antigua GFC		Cobán Imperial

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.00	4.75
	1.55	3.65	4.90
	1.54	4.12	5.74
	1.66	3.87	4.77	Watch
	1.49	4.05	5.65
	1.55	3.76	5.02
	1.56	3.95	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 (1.55)	3.91 ↑ (3.65)	5.09 ↑ (4.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Antigua GFC
58.7%

Draw
23.3%

Cobán Imperial
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.4%

24.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

23.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Antigua GFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cobán Imperial has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antigua GFC than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cobán Imperial than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Antigua GFC - Cobán Imperial Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Moran L. (G) 4. Carbonell J. 17. Castellanos O. 81. Fajardo W. 24. Fernandez D. 7. Galvez J. 5. Garcia A. 8. Garzaro S. 34. Lopez K. J. 21. Robinson A. . Zuniga S.	55. Casas T. (G) 17. Cabrera A. 14. De Leon L. 12. Ical A. 28. Janderson 21. Leal Ramirez B. J. 11. Moreira M. 16. Soto E. . Teni S. 2. Torres D. 9. Winter C.
Substitutes
77. Camargo E. 20. Colindres J. 19. Espinoza J. 2. Gonzalez A. 15. Maziero A. 72. Moreno Alfaro J. E. (G) 27. Palencia D. 6. Rosales J. 54. Sagastume S.	22. Aldana B. 8. Alvarez Y. . Amaral U. 80. Amaya W. 10. Calabrese B. 20. Paredes S. 23. Romero J. (G) 18. Rosas L. 32. Sandoval J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', Janderson 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Lopez K. J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ical A. ↓, Alvarez Y. ↑,
56', Garzaro S. ↓, Espinoza J. ↑,
56', Fernandez D. ↓, Maziero A. ↑,
58', Winter C. ↓, Amaral U. ↑,
70', Lopez K. J. ↓, Rosales J. ↑,
70', Castellanos O. ↓, Camargo E. ↑,
70', Garcia A. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Moreira M. ⚽,
77', Garcia A. ↓, Colindres J. ↑,
81', Torres D. 🟥,
85', 2 - 1, Maziero A. ⚽,
90+1', Moreira M. ↓, Paredes S. ↑,
90+4', Robinson A. 🟨,
90+5', Amaral U. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Liga Nacional (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antigua won 1.

Antigua is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Cobán Imperial shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cobán Imperial could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Bookmakers give the edge to Antigua for this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Antigua has recorded 6 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:26 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Antigua against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:8 goals (averaging 1.4:0.9 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Antigua	16	9	2	5	28:21	7	29
9	Coban Imperial	16	5	4	7	22:25	-3	19

Last Results with these Odds

Antigua GFC - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 57.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Cobán Imperial - the odds 4.9 are the expected chance of winning is 18.17%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Antigua GFC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
08.10.26	Antigua GFC - Municipal	1:1 ✺
02.10.26	Marquense - Antigua GFC	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Deportivo Mixco - Antigua GFC	3:1 ✺
23.09.26	Xelajú - Antigua GFC	4:0 ✺
14.09.26	Antigua GFC - Suchitepéquez	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLW
- Cobán Imperial
Guatemala Liga Nacional
03.10.26	Cobán Imperial - Malacateco	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Aurora	3:2 ✺
20.09.26	Deportivo San Pedro - Cobán Imperial	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Cobán Imperial - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
10.09.26	Xelajú - Cobán Imperial	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
19.08.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	0:2
08.03.26	Antigua GFC - Cobán Imperial	2:2
21.01.26	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	5:1
05.11.25	Antigua GFC - Cobán Imperial	0:0
31.08.25	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	2:2
10.05.25	Antigua GFC - Cobán Imperial	4:0
07.05.25	Cobán Imperial - Antigua GFC	2:1

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