Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Aparecida		Vila Real

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.08	3.15	3.1
	1.91	3.42	3.46
	2	3.41	3.34	Watch
	2	3	3.3
	1.95	3.32	3.47
	2.08	3.1	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.08)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.21 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecida
44.3%

Draw
27.9%

Vila Real
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

28%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Vila Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecida than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Real than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Aparecida - Vila Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
78', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation)

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Aparecida is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aparecida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aparecida FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.03.26	Rebordosa - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
08.03.26	Vila Meã - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Aparecida - Resende	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Salgueiros 08 - Aparecida	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Aparecida - Beira-Mar	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWTL
- SC Vila Real
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.03.26	Vila Real - Resende	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Salgueiros 08 - Vila Real	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vila Real - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Anadia - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
15.02.26	Vila Real - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.11.25	Vila Real - Aparecida	2:1

Aparecida - Vila Real: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide