Match Info

BRAZIL: Goiano - Round 9

Date: 13 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)


	Aparecidense		Goiás

	1	X	2
	3.35	2.85	2.15
	3.55	2.82	2.13
	3.44	2.98	2.16
	3.5	2.88	2.15
	3.49	3.04	2.14
	3.35	2.85	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	2.9 ↑ (2.89)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
26.4%

Draw
31.3%

Goiás
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

31.3%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

30.6%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Goiás has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goiás than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Aparecidense - Goiás Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Matheus Alves (G) 7. Buba 2. David Junio (C) 5. Dyego 89. Enzo 11. Joao Marcos 4. Junior Goiano 21. Pedrinho 29. Stefano Pinho 3. Vanderley 34. Wellington Carvalho	23. Tadeu (C) 31. Barcelo F. 28. Juninho 36. Lucas Lovat 14. Lucas Ribeiro 77. Marcao Silva 75. Messias 17. Pedrinho 8. Rafael Gava 27. Vitor Hugo 97. Willean Lepo
Substitutes
8. Allef 59. Allyson 23. Aurelyo 19. Felipe Pitaluga 17. Kaio Nunes 15. Lauro 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 9. Renan Gorne 14. Robinho 99. Victor Hugo 16. Victor Santos 20. Ze Henrique	66. Danilo Cunha 99. Edu 12. Ezequiel Oliveira (G) 11. Halerrandrio 21. Jean Carlos 25. Luquinhas 30. Pedrinho Barros 29. Victorio M. (G) 22. Vitinho 71. Ze Hugo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Stefano Pinho 🟨,
36', Marcao Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Vitor Hugo ↓, Vitinho ↑,
58', Junior Goiano ↓, Lauro ↑,
58', Buba ↓, Kaio Nunes ↑,
70', Pedrinho ↓, Allef ↑,
76', Pedrinho ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
76', Marcao Silva ↓, Halerrandrio ↑,
76', Barcelo F. ↓, Edu ↑,
79', 0 - 1, Lucas Lovat ⚽,
80', Enzo ↓, Renan Gorne ↑,
81', Joao Marcos ↓, Felipe Pitaluga ↑,
83', Lucas Ribeiro 🟨,
85', Stefano Pinho (Pen),
90+1', Vitinho ↓, Pedrinho Barros ↑,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Goiano (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 2.

Aparecidense is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Goiás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Goiás could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Goiás will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 21:28 (average 1.1:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:14 (average 1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.02.25	Anápolis - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
06.02.25	Aparecidense - Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
04.02.25	Aparecidense - União Rondonópolis	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Goianésia - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Aparecidense - Inhumas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTT
- Goiás EC
Brazilian Copa Verde
12.02.25	União Rondonópolis - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
09.02.25	Goiás - Atlético Goianiense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.02.25	Goiás - Rio Branco AC ES	6:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
02.02.25	Vila Nova - Goiás	1:0 ✺
28.01.25	Goiás - Jataiense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
27.01.24	Aparecidense - Goiás	1:1
12.01.23	Goiás - Aparecidense	1:0
14.04.21	Goiás - Aparecidense	1:1
14.03.21	Aparecidense - Goiás	3:0
10.02.21	Goiás - Aparecidense	0:2
15.03.20	Aparecidense - Goiás	1:2
23.01.20	Goiás - Aparecidense	3:2

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