Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday


	Aparecidense		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	3	3	2.25
	2.95	3.15	2.22
	3.07	3.2	2.35
	2.88	3	2.25
	2.89	3.24	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.53)	3.12 ↑ (2.98)	2.27 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
30.9%

Draw
29.1%

Mirassol
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

29.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aparecidense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Aparecidense - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Mirassol will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirassol: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Aparecidense is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mirassol is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
13.08.22	Aparecidense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Remo - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
31.07.22	Aparecidense - Atlético Cearense	1:3 ✺
24.07.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Aparecidense	1:2 ✺
17.07.22	Aparecidense - Altos	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTLWW
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie C
13.08.22	Manaus - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
07.08.22	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
03.08.22	Botafogo PB - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Ypiranga - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
25.07.22	Mirassol - Confiança	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
17.04.22	Aparecidense - Mirassol	0:1
Brazilian Serie D
09.01.21	Aparecidense - Mirassol	2:3
02.01.21	Mirassol - Aparecidense	2:1

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