Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday


	Manaus		Mirassol

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.5	1.58
	5.2	3.5	1.58
	5.93	3.32	1.7
	5.8	3.3	1.53
	5.8	3.52	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (4.08)	3.43 ↑ (3.4)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
16.3%

Draw
26.6%

Mirassol
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.6%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3%

26.8%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manaus's form might have worsened.

Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirassol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manaus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirassol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.6%	12.9%	35.5%

Manaus - Mirassol Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Manaus will win (votes: 16 - 51.6%). Mirassol will win (votes: 11 - 35.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manaus: 34% – 69.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Mirassol is Qualified for Serie C (Second stage)

Manaus is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mirassol is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mirassol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mirassol is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
06.08.22	Ypiranga - Manaus	5:0 ✺
30.07.22	Manaus - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
23.07.22	Atlético Cearense - Manaus	3:1 ✺
18.07.22	Manaus - Volta Redonda	1:2 ✺
11.07.22	ABC - Manaus	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLT
- Mirassol
Brazilian Serie C
07.08.22	Mirassol - Vitória Salvador	1:2 ✺
03.08.22	Botafogo PB - Mirassol	1:1 ✺
30.07.22	Ypiranga - Mirassol	2:1 ✺
25.07.22	Mirassol - Confiança	3:1 ✺
16.07.22	Floresta - Mirassol	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLWW

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