Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 17

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Annibal Batista de Toledo (Aparecida de Goiânia)

Referee: Pereira M. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Aparecidense		Volta Redonda

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.29	3.08	3.14
	2.17	3.14	3.24	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3
	2.14	3.16	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.75)	3.13 ↑ (2.95)	3.13 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aparecidense
41.9%

Draw
29%

Volta Redonda
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

31.7%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aparecidense's performance.

Volta Redonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Volta Redonda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aparecidense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volta Redonda than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Volta Redonda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Aparecidense - Volta Redonda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aparecidense will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Volta Redonda will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Matheus Alves (G) 3. Da Silva 8. Du Fernandes 20. Falcao 2. Genilson 7. Guilherme Nunes (C) 9. Igor Torres 11. Klenisson 5. Luan Martins 22. Matheus Chaves 4. Mauricio	31. Yago Oliveira (G) 5. Bruno Barra (C) 29. Bruno Santos 21. Henrique Silva 13. Lucas Souza 11. MV 7. Rafinha 8. Robinho 6. Sanchez Costa 30. Vini Moura 2. Wellington Silva
Substitutes
19. Alan James 13. Emanuel 15. Enzo 17. Esquerdinha 14. Henrique Vermudt 25. Julio Cesar 16. Juninho 21. Maikon Aquino 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 1. Pedro Henrique (G) 6. Rodrigues 18. Rubens	15. Charles 19. Cristiano 25. Dione 16. Douglas Skilo 12. Jean Drosny (G) 22. Juninho Monteiro 17. Karl 4. Leo Rigo 20. Marcos Junior 9. Matheus Lucas 10. Patric Calmon
Coaches
Emerson Avila	Rogerio Correa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Lucas Souza ⚽,
15', Genilson ↓, Enzo ↑,
19', Mauricio ↓, Henrique Vermudt ↑,
36', Yago Oliveira 🟨,
45+5', Igor Torres 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Rubens ⚽,
59', Lucas Souza 🟨,
59', Bruno Santos ↓, Matheus Lucas ↑,
59', Rafinha ↓, Patric Calmon ↑,
59', Vini Moura ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
63', Klenisson 🟨,
66', Wellington Silva 🟨,
72', Klenisson ↓, Julio Cesar ↑,
72', Henrique Silva ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
72', Robinho ↓, Charles ↑,
90+2', Patric Calmon 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Volta Redonda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aparecidense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Aparecidense won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Aparecidense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
05.08.24	Remo - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
29.07.24	Aparecidense - Floresta	1:1 ✺
24.07.24	Aparecidense - Ypiranga	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
17.07.24	Caxias - Aparecidense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTWL
- Volta Redonda
Brazilian Serie C
03.08.24	Volta Redonda - Tombense	1:1 ✺
28.07.24	Confiança - Volta Redonda	4:1 ✺
21.07.24	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
14.07.24	Volta Redonda - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
06.07.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Volta Redonda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
26.08.23	Aparecidense - Volta Redonda	2:3
17.09.22	Aparecidense - Volta Redonda	1:0
29.08.22	Volta Redonda - Aparecidense	1:0
26.06.22	Volta Redonda - Aparecidense	0:3

Aparecidense - Volta Redonda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide