Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 13

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Raulino de Oliveira (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Nogueira Prado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Caxias		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.5
	1.95	3.25	3.6	Watch
	1.96	3.25	4.02
	1.94	3.22	3.82	Watch
	1.91	3.2	3.5
	1.88	3.34	3.77	Watch
	1.94	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.99)	3.22 ↑ (3.15)	3.7 (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
47.2%

Draw
28.2%

Aparecidense
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

29.1%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

27.4%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Aparecidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Caxias - Aparecidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Caxias will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Aparecidense will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thiago Coelho (G) 9. Alvaro 6. Augusto Galvan 5. Cezar 3. Dirceu (C) 8. Elyeser 7. Gabriel Silva 4. Lucas Cunha 2. Marcelo 11. Robinho 10. Tomas Bastos	1. Pedro Henrique (G) 8. Du Fernandes 14. Guilherme Nunes 11. Igor Torres 5. Luan Martins 2. Luan Sales 7. Rhuan 10. Robert (C) 6. Rodrigues 9. Rubens 3. Vanderley
Substitutes
21. Arthur Neves 17. Barba 20. David Lustosa 18. Felipe Tontini 16. Geilson 14. Jean Pierre 15. Pedro Cuiaba 23. Peu 19. Welder 22. Wendell 13. Yuri Ferraz 12. Ze Carlos (G)	18. Alan James 22. Cauari 13. Emanuel 16. Enzo 19. Ezequiel 21. Falcao 15. Genilson 20. Juninho 17. Marcelinho 12. Matheus Alves (G) 23. Matheus Inacio (G) 4. Mauricio
Coaches
Thiago Gomes	Emerson Avila

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Gabriel Silva ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Alvaro ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rodrigues ↓, Juninho ↑,
46', Robert ↓, Genilson ↑,
47', 3 - 0, Robinho ⚽,
48', Luan Martins 🟨,
62', Robinho ↓, Yuri Ferraz ↑,
62', Alvaro ↓, Welder ↑,
74', Gabriel Silva ↓, Wendell ↑,
74', Tomas Bastos ↓, Peu ↑,
78', Luan Sales 🟨,
80', 🟨,
81', Augusto Galvan ↓, Arthur Neves ↑,
81', Igor Torres ↓, Cauari ↑,
81', Rhuan ↓, Emanuel ↑,
85', Wendell 🟨,
90', Rubens ↓, Alan James ↑,
90+2', Elyeser 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Caxias has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aparecidense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caxias could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Caxias will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
08.07.24	Caxias - Remo	2:4 ✺
30.06.24	Floresta - Caxias	2:1 ✺
26.06.24	Tombense - Caxias	2:1 ✺
23.06.24	Volta Redonda - Caxias	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Caxias - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie C
06.07.24	Aparecidense - Londrina	1:2 ✺
03.07.24	Botafogo PB - Aparecidense	4:3 ✺
24.06.24	Aparecidense - Náutico Capibaribe	2:2 ✺
15.06.24	Aparecidense - Tombense	2:1 ✺
08.06.24	Ferroviária - Aparecidense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LLTWT

Caxias - Aparecidense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide