Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Apollon Smyrni		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.25	2.9	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3.2
	1.97	3.5	3.4
	2.41	2.8	3.15
	2.51	2.83	3.42
	2.4	2.9	3.2	Watch
	2.44	3.14	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.13)	3.05 ↓ (3.31)	3.2 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Apollon Smyrni
39.9%

Draw
30.8%

AEL Larissa
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

28%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

19.3%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Apollon Smyrni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Apollon Smyrni than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Apollon Smyrni that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AEL Larissa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	14.8%	18.5%

Apollon Smyrni - AEL Larissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Apollon Smyrni will win (votes: 18 - 66.7%). Larissa will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Apollon Smyrni: 48.9% – 84.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Apollon Smyrni could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Apollon Smyrni will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Apollon Smyrni won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Apollon Smyrni won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Apollon Smyrni FC
Greek Super League
14.03.21	Apollon Smyrni - Panetolikos	1:0 ✺
08.03.21	AEK Athens - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	Apollon Smyrni - OFI	2:1 ✺
21.02.21	Volos - Apollon Smyrni	2:0 ✺
18.02.21	Apollon Smyrni - Lamia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
14.03.21	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:3 ✺
10.03.21	Lamia - AEL Larissa	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	OFI - AEL Larissa	2:3 ✺
28.02.21	AEL Larissa - Panetolikos	1:0 ✺
24.02.21	AEL Larissa - Lamia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
16.01.21	AEL Larissa - Apollon Smyrni	0:1
04.10.20	Apollon Smyrni - AEL Larissa	1:0
12.01.19	AEL Larissa - Apollon Smyrni	3:0
25.08.18	Apollon Smyrni - AEL Larissa	0:1
01.04.18	Apollon Smyrni - AEL Larissa	3:0
18.11.17	AEL Larissa - Apollon Smyrni	1:0

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