Match Info

Date: 19 April 2021, Monday


	Lamia		AEL Larissa

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.75	3	Watch
	2.8	2.6	3
	2.65	2.75	2.85
	2.75	2.6	2.95
	2.91	2.65	3.1
	2.62	2.75	3.1
	2.75	2.88	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.44)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)	2.99 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lamia
34.2%

Draw
34.5%

AEL Larissa
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

32.8%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.5%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lamia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

AEL Larissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lamia than the current prediction. (+17.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lamia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEL Larissa than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AEL Larissa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.1%	63.6%	24.2%

Lamia - AEL Larissa Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Lamia will win (votes: 4 - 12.1%). Larissa will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 47.2% – 80%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Lamia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Larissa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Larissa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Lamia won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Lamia won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lamia FC
Greek Super League
12.04.21	PAS Giannina - Lamia	1:2 ✺
03.04.21	Lamia - Volos	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Panetolikos - Lamia	0:3 ✺
14.03.21	Lamia - Atromitos Athens	0:0 ✺
10.03.21	Lamia - AEL Larissa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTWTW
- AEL Larissa
Greek Super League
10.04.21	Atromitos Athens - AEL Larissa	0:1 ✺
03.04.21	AEL Larissa - Panetolikos	1:1 ✺
20.03.21	Apollon Smyrni - AEL Larissa	0:2 ✺
14.03.21	AEL Larissa - Olympiacos Piraeus	1:3 ✺
10.03.21	Lamia - AEL Larissa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Super League
10.03.21	Lamia - AEL Larissa	2:1
24.02.21	AEL Larissa - Lamia	0:1
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Lamia - AEL Larissa	1:1
Greek Super League
11.07.20	Lamia - AEL Larissa	0:0
08.02.20	Lamia - AEL Larissa	0:0
11.11.19	AEL Larissa - Lamia	0:3
24.02.19	Lamia - AEL Larissa	2:1

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