Match Info

Date: 2 May 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Aprilia		Polisportiva Vastogirardi

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.4	2.8	3
	2.38	2.8	3
	2.42	2.81	3.06
	2.54	2.67	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.9)	2.78 ↑ (2.34)	3.04 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aprilia
37.4%

Draw
32.7%

Polisportiva Vastogirardi
29.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.4%

39%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

27.6%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aprilia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aprilia's performance.

Polisportiva Vastogirardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aprilia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polisportiva Vastogirardi than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polisportiva Vastogirardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Aprilia - Polisportiva Vastogirardi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D to Group A and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie D to Group A).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Aprilia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Vastogirardi have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aprilia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group F
24.04.21	Vastese - Aprilia	1:1 ✺
18.04.21	Aprilia - Recanatese	0:5 ✺
01.04.21	Tolentino - Aprilia	2:2 ✺
28.03.21	Aprilia - Notaresco	0:1 ✺
07.03.21	Aprilia - Matese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLTLT
- Polisportiva Vastogirardi
Italian Serie D - Group F
01.04.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Montegiorgio	0:1 ✺
13.03.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Tolentino	3:3 ✺
07.03.21	Rieti - Polisportiva Vastogirardi	1:2 ✺
21.02.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Giulianova	3:1 ✺
17.02.21	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Matese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
20.12.20	Polisportiva Vastogirardi - Aprilia	2:0

Aprilia - Polisportiva Vastogirardi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Aprilia - Polisportiva Vastogirardi Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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