Match Info

Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Araçatuba		União Barbarense

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.4	2.75
	3.15	2.34	2.92	Watch
	3.16	2.58	2.74
	2.95	3.1	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.87)	2.61 ↓ (3.1)	2.72 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araçatuba
30.3%

Draw
35.6%

União Barbarense
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

29.7%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araçatuba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

União Barbarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araçatuba than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Barbarense than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Araçatuba - União Barbarense Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Araçatuba (votes: 2 - 66.7%). União Barbarense (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Araçatuba (1.94) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Araçatuba (votes: 4 - 80%). União Barbarense (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Lucas Lotto ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, Caio Bahia ⚽,
53', 1 - 2, Daniel Cruz ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, Gustavao ⚽,
79', 3 - 2, Mateusinho ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent matches Araçatuba is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

União Barbarense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Araçatuba won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AEA Araçatuba
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
05.04.25	Taquaritinga - Araçatuba	0:3 ✺
29.03.25	Araçatuba - Taquaritinga	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Araçatuba - Taquaritinga	3:1 ✺
12.03.25	Joseense - Araçatuba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLLWW
- União Barbarense
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
06.04.25	União Barbarense - Colorado Caieiras	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0 ✺
15.03.25	Colorado Caieiras - União Barbarense	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	União Barbarense - Inter de Bebedouro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
22.03.25	União Barbarense - Araçatuba	3:0

Araçatuba - União Barbarense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide