The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aragua 48.6%
Draw 30.5%
Mineros de Guayana 21%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.6%
33.4%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
31.3%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
Mineros de Guayana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Guayana than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aragua won 2.
Aragua arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Mineros is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Mineros may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Aragua carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aragua has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:25 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aragua against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 13:11 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Aragua - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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