The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aragua 53.1%
Draw 27.2%
Monagas B 19.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52%
28.1%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
28.5%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Monagas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas B than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aragua won 1.
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Monagas B could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Monagas B has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Aragua carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Aragua has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:7 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aragua against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:3 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).