The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aragua 42.9%
Draw 31.4%
Monagas B 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
31.4%
28.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
30.2%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Monagas B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas B than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Aragua - Monagas B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 1 - 1, ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Aragua is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
In recent matches, Monagas B has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Monagas B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Aragua will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aragua won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Aragua won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).