The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Dynamo Puerto 25.5%
Draw 30.8%
Aragua 43.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
24.1%
37.7%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24%
37.6%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dynamo Puerto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aragua's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Puerto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aragua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
73', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dynamo Puerto won 1.
In recent outings, Dynamo Puerto has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aragua is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Aragua could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Aragua holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Dynamo Puerto has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:8 (averaging 1.3:0.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dynamo Puerto against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:3 goals (averaging 1.8:0.8 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Aragua - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 38.19%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
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