Match Info

Copa Venezuela - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas) 🌤️ ...


	Deportivo La Guaira		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.60	4.80
	1.65	3.5	4.6
	1.49	3.89	5.81
	1.60	3.68	5.20	Watch
	1.45	3.55	5.45
	1.45	3.92	6.18
	1.66	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	3.68 ↓ (3.8)	5.25 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo La Guaira
58.2%

Draw
24.6%

Aragua
17.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54%

24.4%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

26.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo La Guaira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Guaira than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Aragua will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Deportivo La Guaira (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo La Guaira (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Pomozy H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Rivas F. ⚽,
64', 3 - 0, Uribe A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo La Guaira won 4.

Deportivo La Guaira has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Aragua is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Aragua may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Deportivo La Guaira carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo La Guaira has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:13 (averaging 1.3:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo La Guaira against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:4 goals (averaging 1.6:0.4 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuelan Primera Division
17.10.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Trujillanos	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Deportivo La Guaira	0:0 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Deportivo Táchira	2:4 ✺
15.09.26	Carabobo - Deportivo La Guaira	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Deportivo La Guaira - Universidad Central	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
18.10.26	Dynamo Puerto - Aragua	2:2 ✺
Copa Venezuela
14.10.26	Aragua - Caracas	3:1 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
11.10.26	Aragua - Mineros de Guayana	3:0 ✺
Copa Venezuela
07.10.26	Barquisimeto - Aragua	1:4 ✺
Venezuelan Segunda Division
27.09.26	Aragua - Atletico Avila	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Venezuela
27.06.24	Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira	1:2
06.06.24	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	3:0
Venezuelan Primera Division
31.07.22	Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira	0:2
21.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	3:3
11.09.21	Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira	0:1
22.07.21	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	5:0
04.06.21	Aragua - Deportivo La Guaira	2:0

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