Match Info
Date: 11 August 2022, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Olimpico Hermanos Ghersi Paez (Maracay)
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Aragua |
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Zamora |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4 |
3 |
1.87 |
 Watch |
 |
4 |
3.05 |
1.8 |
|
 |
4 |
3.1 |
1.87 |
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 |
3.9 |
2.99 |
1.92 |
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4 |
3.1 |
1.91 |
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 |
3.92 |
3.24 |
1.93 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.97 ↑
(3.58) |
3.08 ↑
(2.85) |
1.88 ↓
(2.04) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aragua
22.7% | Draw
29.3% | Zamora
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aragua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zamora, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Aragua - Zamora Predictions
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Aragua will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Zamora will win (votes: 19 - 67.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zamora: 50.6% – 85.2%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs)).Last 5 head-to-head matches Aragua won 2. Aragua has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). Recent matches Zamora is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3). Aragua could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Zamora have a series of guest games. Zamora will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 22 head-to-head matches Aragua won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 19-35. Including matches at home between the teams Aragua won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-18.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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