Match Info

Date: 7 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico de la UCV (Caracas)


	Universidad Central		Aragua

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.7	2.55
	2.55	2.5	3.05
	2.85	2.7	2.6
	2.89	2.35	2.94
	3	2.6	2.62
	2.91	2.69	2.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.42)	2.59 ↓ (2.73)	2.76 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Central
32%

Draw
35.1%

Aragua
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

33.2%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

33.6%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Central's form might have worsened.

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Central than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	46.7%	20%

Universidad Central - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Universidad Central will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Aragua will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Universidad Central is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aragua is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Universidad Central won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
01.07.22	Deportivo Lara - Universidad Central	0:0 ✺
18.06.22	Universidad Central - Caracas	1:0 ✺
10.06.22	Estudiantes de Mérida - Universidad Central	3:0 ✺
04.06.22	Universidad Central - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:2 ✺
29.05.22	Caracas - Universidad Central	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWLLW
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.06.22	Aragua - Metropolitanos	2:3 ✺
16.06.22	Portuguesa Acarígua - Aragua	1:0 ✺
09.06.22	Deportivo Táchira - Aragua	2:0 ✺
05.06.22	Aragua - Deportivo Táchira	1:0 ✺
27.05.22	Aragua - Portuguesa Acarígua	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
12.05.22	Aragua - Universidad Central	1:0

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