Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 31

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Arandina		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.8
	2.3	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.4	3.16	2.94
	2.4	3.16	2.94
	2.48	2.94	2.98
	2.34	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.1)	3.06 ↑ (2.83)	2.94 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arandina
38.8%

Draw
30%

Real Avilés
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

32.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

32.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arandina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arandina's performance.

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arandina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arandina - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Manzano K. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, Medina C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, El Battioui A. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent matches Arandina is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Avilés is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arandina won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arandina CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Real Oviedo B - Arandina	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Arandina - Pontevedra	1:1 ✺
23.03.24	Coruxo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Arandina - Guijuelo	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Cayón - Arandina	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WTLLT
- Real Avilés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
07.04.24	Real Avilés - Marino de Luanco	1:1 ✺
31.03.24	Rayo Cantabria - Real Avilés	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Real Avilés - Zamora	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Avilés - Real Oviedo B	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Pontevedra - Real Avilés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.12.23	Real Avilés - Arandina	2:1

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