Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 2 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Gidzhenov R. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Australia	Stan Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 17
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 17, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 17
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus


	Noah Yerevan		Rijeka

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.1
	2.22	3.25	3.15
	2.25	3.45	3.27
	2.30	3.49	2.97	Watch
	2.27	3.57	3.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.28)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Yerevan
42.2%

Draw
27.4%

Rijeka
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

27.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

26.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	27.3%	18.2%

Noah Yerevan - Rijeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Noah will win (votes: 12 - 54.5%). Rijeka will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Noah: 33.7% – 75.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Noah (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Rijeka (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Fayulu T. (G) 6. Boakye E. 39. Saintini N. 3. Muradyan S. 33. Sualehe D. 14. Oshima T. 88. Eteki Y. 17. Sangare G. 7. Ferreira H. (C) 32. Mulahusejnovic N. 47. Jakolis M.	13. Zlomislic M. (C) 22. Orec A. 51. Husic A. 6. Radeljic S. 34. Devetak M. 23. Lasickas J. 8. Petrovic D. 4. Jankovic N. 17. Menalo L. 18. Adu Adjei D. 10. Fruk T.
Substitutes
18. Avanesyan A. 22. Cancarevic O. (G) 10. Dashyan A. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 99. Harutyunyan H. 27. Manvelyan G. 9. Matheus Aias 11. Oulad Omar I. 37. Silva G. 4. Thorarinsson G.	91. Bodetic N. 30. Bogojevic B. 27. Butic S. 26. Dantas T. 14. Gojak A. 77. Juric A. 2. Kitin L. 1. Kovac V. (G) 20. Ndockyt M. 25. Thaqi D. 99. Todorovic A. (G) 19. Vignato S.
Coaches
Perkovic S.	Raic-Sudar D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Mulahusejnovic N. ⚽, Oshima T. (A),
30', Jankovic N. 🟥,
44', Menalo L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Sangare G. 🟨,
63', Menalo L. ↓, Bogojevic B. ↑,
64', Adu Adjei D. ↓, Dantas T. ↑,
71', Ferreira H. 🟨,
75', Ferreira H. ↓, Matheus Aias ↑,
76', Husic A. 🟨,
84', Fruk T. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
85', Lasickas J. ↓, Ndockyt M. ↑,
86', Radeljic S. ↓, Vignato S. ↑,
87', Petrovic D. 🟨,
87', Oshima T. ↓, Thorarinsson G. ↑,
90+4', Boakye E. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
90+4', Sangare G. ↓, Harutyunyan H. ↑,

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium.

Noah is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rijeka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Rijeka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Rijeka: Majstorovic A. (Red Card) Skoric M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Rijeka: Lasickas J. (Inactive)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
28.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Van	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Pyunik	3:1 ✺
31.08.25	Alashkert - Noah Yerevan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTWL
- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
27.09.25	Rijeka - Istra 1961	0:0 ✺
22.09.25	Vukovar 91 - Rijeka	3:2 ✺
13.09.25	Rijeka - Lokomotiva Zagreb	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Hajduk Split - Rijeka	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	PAOK - Rijeka	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLTTL

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