Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Abovyan City Stadium (Abovyan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Armenia	Fast Sports


	Noah Yerevan		Urartu Yerevan

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.35	6.1
	1.31	5.04	8.98
	1.46	4.24	5.89	Watch
	1.37	5.54	6.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)	4.79 ↑ (4.28)	6.84 ↑ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noah Yerevan
67%

Draw
19.4%

Urartu Yerevan
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

21.4%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

20.5%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noah Yerevan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Urartu Yerevan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noah Yerevan than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Urartu Yerevan than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Cancarevic O. (C) 6. Boakye E. 88. Eteki Y. 7. Ferreira H. 99. Harutyunyan H. 47. Jakolis M. 9. Matheus Aias 3. Muradyan S. 14. Oshima T. 39. Saintini N. 33. Sualehe D.	92. Mishiev A. (G) 8. Aghasaryan N. 6. Alef Santos 99. Ayvazyan K. 18. Bratkov A. 30. Bruno Michel 4. Ghazaryan A. 23. Kaloukian N. 88. Margaryan Z. (C) 7. Mkrtchyan S. 44. Tsymbalyuk Y.
Substitutes
18. Avanesyan A. 29. Coneglian A. (G) 10. Dashyan A. 77. Grgic A. 19. Hambardzumyan H. 23. Khamoyan A. 27. Manvelyan G. 32. Mulahusejnovic N. 92. Ploshchadnyi A. (G) 17. Sangare G. 4. Thorarinsson G. 44. Zolotic N.	33. Dragojevic A. (G) 2. Gunko A. 53. Harutyunyan D. 9. Llovet A. 1. Matinyan G. (G) 10. Melkonyan K. 22. Mirzoyan M. 3. Piloyan E. 90. Polyakov O. 11. Prince 55. Simonyan E. 21. Vardanyan E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Bratkov A. ↓, Piloyan E. ↑,
27', Ghazaryan A. 🟨,
31', Jakolis M. ↓, Grgic A. ↑,
43', Piloyan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kaloukian N. ↓, Vardanyan E. ↑,
46', Mkrtchyan S. ↓, Llovet A. ↑,
51', Eteki Y. 🟨,
61', Matheus Aias ↓, Mulahusejnovic N. ↑,
61', Harutyunyan H. ↓, Manvelyan G. ↑,
75', 🟨,
76', Alef Santos ↓, Gunko A. ↑,
86', Bruno Michel ↓, Melkonyan K. ↑,
86', Bruno Michel 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Noah won 2.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

In this match, Noah is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Noah will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Noah won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Noah won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Noah Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
05.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Noah Yerevan - Rijeka	1:0 ✺
Armenian Premier League
28.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Ararat	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Noah Yerevan - Van	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWT
- FC Urartu Yerevan
Armenian Premier League
05.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Shirak Gyumri - Urartu Yerevan	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat	6:0 ✺
14.09.25	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:3 ✺
29.08.25	Pyunik - Urartu Yerevan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Armenian Premier League
05.10.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:0
18.05.25	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	3:3
01.11.24	Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	2:1
29.09.24	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	2:1
23.04.24	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	0:1
22.02.24	Noah Yerevan - Urartu Yerevan	1:1
21.10.23	Urartu Yerevan - Noah Yerevan	1:0

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