Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday

Location: Football Academy Stadium (Yerevan)

Referee: Zabroda K. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, TV4
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ararat-Armenia		Riga

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.10	2.70	Watch
	2.60	3.30	2.70
	2.70	3.20	2.55	Watch
	2.54	3.25	2.87
	2.79	3.22	2.53	Watch
	2.50	3.05	2.80
	2.51	3.28	2.86	Watch
	2.55	3.30	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ararat-Armenia
36.4%

Draw
29.1%

Riga
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

25.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ararat-Armenia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Riga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Ararat Armenia - Riga Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ararat-Armenia will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Riga will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Riga: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Riga (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Joao Bravim (G) 13. Hovhannisyan K. 3. Junior Julio 47. Malis A. 16. Grigoryan E. 2. Oliveira H. 20. Tera A. 19. Muradyan K. (C) 77. Serobyan A. 91. Sandro Lima 7. Shaghoyan Z.	91. Orols F. (G) 33. Paulo Eduardo 5. Wassom K. 21. Musah B. 17. Salazar A. 13. Jurkovskis R. (C) 40. Ankrah A. 4. Galo O. 18. Oulad M'Hand S. 7. Aouani R. 19. Badamosi M.
Substitutes
10. Ambartsumyan A. 90. Ayongo P. 6. Ayvazyan M. 11. Banjaqui Z. 17. Carlier M. 9. Eloyan A. 95. Franca Carlos 5. Luis Felipe 25. Ndour A. 1. Nersesyan A. (G) 14. Pereira B. 43. Wilson Valdez B. R.	3. Abner 99. Caio Ferreira 22. Diop M. 8. Iago Siqueira 70. Juan Christian 44. Kazainis M. (G) 10. Reginaldo Ramires 25. Taiwo A. 23. Tonisevs M. 1. Zviedris K. (G)
Coaches
Tulipa	Gula A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Malis A. ↓, Wilson Valdez B. R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Badamosi M. 🟨,
63', 1 - 0, Oliveira H. ⚽, Muradyan K. (A),
68', Oulad M'Hand S. 🟨,
72', Orols F. 🟥,
72', Sandro Lima ↓, Ndour A. ↑,
72', Tera A. ↓, Ambartsumyan A. ↑,
73', Shaghoyan Z. ↓, Franca Carlos ↑,
76', Aouani R. ↓, Zviedris K. ↑,
86', 2 - 0, Franca Carlos ⚽, Grigoryan E. (A),
87', Badamosi M. ↓, Reginaldo Ramires ↑,
87', Oulad M'Hand S. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
88', Serobyan A. ↓, Banjaqui Z. ↑,
90+5', Galo O. ↓, Iago Siqueira ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Riga is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Riga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Ararat-Armenia - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.8%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ararat-Armenia
Armenian Premier League
27.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Gandzasar	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	BKMA Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	2:3 ✺
10.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Noah Yerevan	0:4 ✺
06.05.26	Ararat-Armenia - Pyunik	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Urartu Yerevan - Ararat-Armenia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Riga FC
Latvian Virsliga
03.07.26	Riga - Jelgava	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Auda Riga - Riga	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	0:0 ✺
21.06.26	Riga - Liepāja	4:0 ✺
17.06.26	Riga - RFS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTWW

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