Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Ion Oblemenco (Craiova)

Referee: Minakovic N. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	KuPS TV
Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Universitatea Craiova		KuPS Kuopio

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.35	5.00	8.75
	1.35	4.35	9.8	Watch
	1.36	4.82	9.77
	1.35	4.84	9.53	Watch
	1.31	4.8	10
	1.37	5.07	9.8	Watch
	1.32	4.8	8.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.39)	4.77 ↑ (4.42)	9.37 ↑ (7.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universitatea Craiova
70.2%

Draw
19.7%

KuPS Kuopio
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

21.1%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

20.6%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

KuPS Kuopio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KuPS Kuopio than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.3%	21.7%	0%

Universitatea Craiova - KuPS Kuopio Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Craiova (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (18 of 23 users predict this - 78.26%).
Confidence interval (95%): 61.4% – 95.12%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Popescu L. (G) 28. Rus A. 3. Romanchuk O. 6. Screciu V. 17. Mora C. 5. Mekvabishvili A. 20. Cicaldau A. 11. Bancu N. (C) 30. Matei D. 7. Nsimba S. 10. Baiaram S.	1. Kreidl J. (G) 29. Puukko A. 28. Magassa B. 4. Adams K. 33. Hamalainen T. 10. Gasc V. R. 22. Touray S. 16. Jyry T. 8. Pennanen P. (C) 24. Armah B. 11. Moreno Ciorciari J. J.
Substitutes
9. Al Hamlawi A. 8. Baluta T. 29. Basceanu L. 4. Cretu A. 12. Etim M. 19. Heriberto Tavares 1. Maxim A. (G) 18. Radulescu M. 90. Sava R. (G) 24. Stevanovic N. 23. Teles	25. Antwi C. 9. Engvall G. 17. Heinonen A. 3. Heiskanen S. 30. Jorginho 13. Kujasalo N. 23. Lotjonen A. 21. Luyeye-Lutumba J. 20. Parzyszek P. 12. Riihimaki H. (G) 6. Savolainen S. 37. Silen K. (G)
Coaches
Coelho F.	Nuutinen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Gasc V. R. ⚽, Jyry T. (A),
31', Hamalainen T. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Nsimba S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hamalainen T. ↓, Antwi C. ↑,
48', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. 🟨,
52', Matei D. 🟨,
61', Nsimba S. ↓, Al Hamlawi A. ↑,
61', Matei D. ↓, Etim M. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Mora C. ⚽, Al Hamlawi A. (A),
65', Adams K. 🟨,
67', Moreno Ciorciari J. J. ↓, Parzyszek P. ↑,
67', Gasc V. R. ↓, Luyeye-Lutumba J. ↑,
79', Puukko A. ↓, Savolainen S. ↑,
80', Baiaram S. ↓, Heriberto Tavares ↑,
80', Cicaldau A. ↓, Baluta T. ↑,
90+1', Mekvabishvili A. ↓, Teles ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 1-1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, KuPS has had a series of home games.

In this match, Uni Craiova is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Uni Craiova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian SuperLiga
09.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Argeș Pitești	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
01.08.26	Universitatea Craiova - Petrolul Ploieşti	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Universitatea Craiova - Levski Sofia	2:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
25.07.26	FC Dinamo Bucureşti - Universitatea Craiova	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LTWTL
- KuPS Kuopio
Finnish Veikkausliiga
09.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - TPS	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
01.08.26	Gnistan - KuPS Kuopio	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - Sabah	0:2 ✺
Finnish Veikkausliiga
25.07.26	KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	KuPS Kuopio - Universitatea Craiova	1:1

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