Match Info

Copa Rio - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Araruama		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.2
	3	3.05	2.22
	3.04	3.12	2.29	Watch
	3.03	3.04	2.27
	3.03	3.04	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.17)	3.05 ↑ (3)	2.25 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Araruama
30.1%

Draw
29.7%

Nova Iguaçu
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

30.3%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29.4%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Araruama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araruama than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Araruama - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Lucas Cruz ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

1st leg.

Araruama is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Nova Iguaçu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Nova Iguaçu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nova Iguaçu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Araruama FC
Brazilian Copa Rio
20.08.25	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Araruama	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
09.08.25	Bangu - Araruama	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Araruama - Bangu	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Araruama - São Gonçalo	N/A ✺
06.07.25	Araruama - America RJ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WLT?W
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Nova Iguaçu - Olaria	1:0 ✺
30.07.25	Olaria - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Nova Iguaçu - Porto Vitória	1:1 ✺
19.07.25	Água Santa - Nova Iguaçu	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Nova Iguaçu - Maricá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTTLL

Araruama - Nova Iguaçu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide