Match Info
Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finalsDate: 24 July 2025, ThursdayLocation: Dalga Arena (Baku)Referee: Chivulete A. (Rou)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
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Araz Naxçıvan |
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Aris |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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3.3 |
3.2 |
2 |
Watch |
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3.1 |
3.5 |
2.05 |
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 |
3.6 |
2.95 |
2.15 |
Watch |
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3.92 |
3.05 |
2.12 |
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3.4 |
3.2 |
2.05 |
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3.7 |
3.41 |
2.07 |
Watch |
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3.3 |
3.3 |
2.23 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.47 ↑ (3.28) |
3.23 ↓ (3.28) |
2.1 ↓ (2.23) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Araz Naxçıvan 26.8% | Draw 28.8% | Aris 44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%) bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Aris will win (votes: 20 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aris: 60.7% – 93.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Aris (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Araz (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Aris (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aris will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Araz (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Aris (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
12. Avram C. (G) 34. Abbasov U. (C) 3. Hasanalizada B. 4. Igor Ribeiro 77. Bruno Franco 19. Cohen B. 6. Andrade P. 29. Wanderson 70. Boli C. 11. Simakala B. 10. Santos F.
| 33. Athanasiadis G. (G) 27. Fadiga N. 14. Brabec J. 4. Fabiano 37. Mendyl H. 10. Racic U. 97. Jensen F. 8. Monchu (C) 7. Perez C. 80. Moron L. 99. Diandy C.
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| Substitutes |
94. Ahmadli T. (G) 5. Alxasov 26. Buludov O. 14. Isgandarov U. 7. Keyta H. 22. Mustafayev E. 2. Qarayev Q. 16. Ramon Machado 23. Rodrigues N.
| 24. Alvaro P. 41. Charoupas K. 28. Dudu 17. Frydek M. 70. Gianniotas G. 91. Karaj E. 21. Majkic L. (G) 18. Morutan O. 77. Panagidis M. 15. Tejero A.
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| Coaches |
Bakshiev E.
| Mantzios A.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Hasanalizada B. 🟨,
- 45+2', Simakala B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', Mendyl H. 🟨,
- 61', Jensen F. ↓, Gianniotas G. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Moron L. ⚽, Gianniotas G. (A),
- 66', Alxasov 🟨,
- 67', Andrade P. 🟨,
- 70', Cohen B. ↓, Rodrigues N. ↑,
- 73', Diandy C. 🟨,
- 75', 1 - 1, Santos F. ⚽,
- 77', Diandy C. ↓, Tejero A. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Andrade P. ⚽, Rodrigues N. (A),
- 80', Monchu 🟨,
- 83', Simakala B. ↓, Keyta H. ↑,
- 83', Mendyl H. ↓, Frydek M. ↑,
- 83', Fadiga N. ↓, Morutan O. ↑,
- 86', Igor Ribeiro 🟨,
- 86', Tejero A. 🟨,
- 86', Wanderson 🟨,
- 90', Boli C. ↓, Isgandarov U. ↑,
- 90', Wanderson ↓, Qarayev Q. ↑,
- 90+4', Avram C. 🟨,
- 90+7', Qarayev Q. 🟨,
Preview
1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Dalga Arena.Aris may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Aris is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;