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Current Win Probability
Araz Naxçıvan 44.7%
Draw 28.2%
Kapaz 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36%
28.1%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.7%
27.9%
36.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Araz Naxçıvan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Araz Naxçıvan's performance.
Kapaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kapaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Araz Naxçıvan than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Araz Naxçıvan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapaz than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kapaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th in the Relegation - I Liqa and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Araz won 3.
Araz is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Kapaz has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Kapaz has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, Araz has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:8 (averaging 1.1:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Araz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:4 goals (averaging 0.9:0.6 per game).
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