Match Info

Premier League - Round 13

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Shamakhi City Stadium (Shamakhi)

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Shamakhi		Sumgayit

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	2.82	2.68	Watch
	2.67	2.92	2.83
	2.53	3.07	2.73	Watch
	2.54	2.88	2.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.45)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.74 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shamakhi
35.4%

Draw
31.2%

Sumgayit
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.1%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sumgayit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sumgayit than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Shamakhi - Sumgayit Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 5. Agcabayov A. (C) 13. Apolinario R. 11. Balau D. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 97. Mammadov O. 8. Msanga A. 9. Rossi K. 3. Veremeev V.	1. Cannatov M. (G) 8. Abdullazada S. (C) 7. Ahmadzada R. 80. Keffel 19. Kehat R. 25. Moumini A. 71. Murata M. 75. Orujov N. 14. Pinto P. 9. Ramalingom A. 23. Vasquez R.
Substitutes
7. Adilkhanov E. 6. Antonio Lara 99. Hashimov S. (G) 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Maharramli R. 90. Mansumov D. 77. Mehraliyev N. 24. Muradly S. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 19. Shuaibu A. 27. Suleymanov E.	21. Ahmadzada N. 66. Aliyev R. 56. Arixov A. (G) 22. Farzullayev K. (G) 3. Haqverdi H. 11. Jankovic A. 10. Ninkovic N. 37. Orujali N. 97. Pashayev V. 6. Rustamli R. 95. Simon N.
Coaches
Abbasov A.	Ilic S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Orujov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Orujov N. ↓, Jankovic A. ↑,
62', Vasquez R. 🟨,
67', Mammadov O. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
68', Jankovic A. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Rossi K. ⚽,
75', Kehat R. ↓, Simon N. ↑,
75', Murata M. ↓, Ninkovic N. ↑,
83', Abbasov R. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
83', Balau D. ↓, Maharramli R. ↑,
83', Moumini A. ↓, Ahmadzada N. ↑,
87', Rossi K. ↓, Shuaibu A. ↑,
87', Apolinario R. ↓, Antonio Lara ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Jankovic A. ⚽,
89', Ricardo Fernandes 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Abdullazada S. ⚽,
90+1', Abdullazada S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Sumgayit may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shamakhi has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shamakhi won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Shamakhi won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
23.11.25	Sabah - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
07.11.25	Shamakhi - İmişli	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
26.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWLWT
- Sumgayit FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
21.11.25	Sumgayit - Qarabağ Agdam	2:4 ✺
07.11.25	Gabala - Sumgayit	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Sumgayit - Araz Naxçıvan	3:2 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Zagatala - Sumgayit	0:3 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
25.10.25	Zira - Sumgayit	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
29.08.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:1
12.04.25	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:2
09.02.25	Shamakhi - Sumgayit	1:0
24.11.24	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	2:1
14.09.24	Shamakhi - Sumgayit	1:0
16.04.23	Shamakhi - Sumgayit	0:0
12.02.23	Sumgayit - Shamakhi	1:0

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