Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Bank Respublika Arena (Masazır)

Referee: Rahimov K. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Sabah		Shamakhi

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.7	5.35	Watch
	1.47	4.06	6.24	Watch
	1.53	3.62	5.84	Watch
	1.35	4.3	8.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 (1.47)	3.92 ↓ (4.06)	6.42 ↑ (6.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sabah
62.4%

Draw
23.4%

Shamakhi
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

22.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

21.6%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Shamakhi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shamakhi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Sabah - Shamakhi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Pokatilov S. (G) 88. Aliyev K. 13. Lepinjica I. 19. Malouda A. 20. Mickels J. 27. Puchacz T. 33. Rakhmonaliyev U. 2. Seydiyev A. (C) 21. Simic V. 3. Solvet S. 40. Ygor Nogueira	1. Ricardo Fernandes (G) 82. Abbasov R. 5. Agcabayov A. (C) 13. Apolinario R. 11. Balau D. 4. Cezar 44. David Santos 97. Mammadov O. 8. Msanga A. 19. Shuaibu A. 3. Veremeev V.
Substitutes
53. Andrey 5. Dashdamirov R. 46. Isayev A. 6. Khaybulaev A. 55. Mehbaliyev N. (G) 89. Mukhtarov C. 17. Mutallimov T. 10. Nuriyev A. 11. Parris K. 72. Samigullin R. (G)	7. Adilkhanov E. 6. Antonio Lara 14. Gafarov R. 99. Hashimov S. (G) 21. Ismayilov B. 80. Ismayilov H. 17. Maharramli R. 90. Mansumov D. 77. Mehraliyev N. 24. Muradly S. 62. Seyiahmadov A. (G) 27. Suleymanov E.
Coaches
Dambrauskas V.	Abbasov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aliyev K. ↓, Isayev A. ↑,
54', Agcabayov A. 🟨,
63', Shuaibu A. ↓, Ismayilov H. ↑,
69', Lepinjica I. ↓, Nuriyev A. ↑,
69', Malouda A. ↓, Parris K. ↑,
74', Ismayilov H. 🟨,
76', Rakhmonaliyev U. 🟨,
77', Msanga A. ↓, Suleymanov E. ↑,
86', Mammadov O. ↓, Antonio Lara ↑,
86', Balau D. ↓, Adilkhanov E. ↑,
87', Veremeev V. 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.

Sabah is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shamakhi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sabah may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sabah is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sabah Baku FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
09.11.25	Kapaz - Sabah	1:3 ✺
03.11.25	Sabah - Gabala	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Araz Naxçıvan - Sabah	2:2 ✺
19.10.25	Sabah - Zira	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Karvan - Sabah	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWW
- Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
07.11.25	Shamakhi - İmişli	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Turan Tovuz - Shamakhi	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Cup
29.10.25	Səbail - Shamakhi	0:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
26.10.25	Qarabağ Agdam - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Shamakhi - Kapaz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
24.08.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:2
09.05.25	Sabah - Shamakhi	3:1
09.03.25	Shamakhi - Sabah	1:0
22.12.24	Shamakhi - Sabah	3:1
04.08.24	Sabah - Shamakhi	2:2
29.04.23	Sabah - Shamakhi	1:0
25.02.23	Shamakhi - Sabah	2:1

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