Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 28

Date: 8 June 2023, Thursday


	Arba Minch		Legetafo Legedadi

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.4	7.25
	1.28	4.6	9
	1.34	4.26	7.9
	1.33	3.9	8
	1.36	4.45	7.8	Watch
	1.32	4.4	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.7)	4.34 ↑ (3.53)	8.26 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arba Minch
68.2%

Draw
20.9%

Legetafo Legedadi
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.9%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

25.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arba Minch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arba Minch's performance.

Legetafo Legedadi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Legetafo Legedadi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arba Minch that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legetafo Legedadi than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Legetafo Legedadi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Arba Minch - Legetafo Legedadi Predictions

Users Predictions: Arba Minch will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Abebe W. (C) 17. Elias A. 3. Elias M. 10. Hussien A. 25. Laryea Saban E. 20. Mesfin E. 15. Ochieng B. 8. Shamena B. 30. Tegegn Y. 19. Temesgen D. 13. Tilahun A.	16. Mensah K. (G) 4. Ahmed G. 44. Alemayehu F. 18. Aniley T. 8. Awol S. 6. Ayele A. 13. Befkadu I. 20. Damtew C. (C) 19. Tesfaye A. 21. Tessema B. 5. Woldegiorgis M.
Substitutes
5. Adane A. 2. Akalu A. 21. Asnake A. 12. Bekele M. 6. Beketa A. 9. Gezahegn B. 11. Kapaito E. 31. Merdokios M. (G) 18. Shamil A.	11. Abera M. 23. Ayele T. 31. Delil B. (G) 1. Doji M. (G) 24. Hassen Y. 25. Jul O. 17. Negash T. 22. Nigussu T. 7. Traore S.

Preview

Recent matches Arba Minch is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Legetafo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arba Minch is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arba Minch won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arba Minch FC
Ethiopian Premier League
01.06.23	Sidama Coffee - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Arba Minch - Ethio Electric	4:0 ✺
20.05.23	Adama City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
15.05.23	Arba Minch - Welayta Dicha	0:0 ✺
08.05.23	Fasil Kenema - Arba Minch	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWTTT
- Legetafo Legedadi
Ethiopian Premier League
01.06.23	Saint George - Legetafo Legedadi	2:1 ✺
26.05.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Adama City	1:0 ✺
20.05.23	Ethiopia Bunna - Legetafo Legedadi	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Legetafo Legedadi - Fasil Kenema	0:2 ✺
11.05.23	Wolkite Kenema - Legetafo Legedadi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
15.12.22	Legetafo Legedadi - Arba Minch	1:1

Arba Minch - Legetafo Legedadi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide