Match Info
Premier League - Round 22Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday
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Arba Minch |
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Ethio Electric |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.68 |
2.52 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.98 |
2.31 |
3.17 |
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2.87 |
2.42 |
3.08 |
 Watch |
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2.7 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
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2.65 |
2.5 |
2.98 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.72) |
2.43 ↓
(2.48) |
3 ↓
(3.03) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Arba Minch
32.6% | Draw
37.2% | Ethio Electric
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arba Minch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Ethio Electric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arba Minch than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethio Electric than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Arba Minch - Ethio Electric Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Arba Minch will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 4', 0 - 1, Sibomana P. ⚽,
- 16', 0 - 2, Habtamu A. ⚽,
- 43', 0 - 3, Bedru A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 4, Habtamu A. ⚽,
- 82', 1 - 4, Bogale Y. ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).Arba Minch has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Ethio Electric is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arba Minch won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Arba Minch won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 3:0).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Ethio Electric | 38 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 32:26 | 6 | 54 |
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| 20 | Arba Menche | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 30:46 | -16 | 35 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 28.10.25 | Ethio Electric - Arba Minch | 3:1 | | 05.04.25 | Arba Minch - Ethio Electric | 2:0 | | 10.02.25 | Ethio Electric - Arba Minch | 2:1 | | 27.05.23 | Arba Minch - Ethio Electric | 4:0 | | 07.12.22 | Ethio Electric - Arba Minch | 2:2 |
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