Match Info

Stars League - Round 38

Date: 2 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Franso Hariri Stadium (Arbil)


	Arbil		Amanat Baghdad

	1	X	2
	1.52	4.05	4.75
	1.53	4.3	4.47
	1.52	4.66	4.57	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.48	4.25	5.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.49)	4.23 ↓ (4.32)	4.81 ↓ (5.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arbil
59.9%

Draw
21.4%

Amanat Baghdad
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

21.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

20.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Amanat Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Arbil - Amanat Baghdad Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arbil will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
63', 1 - 0, Govand J. ⚽,
66', 2 - 0, John C. ⚽,
80', 3 - 0, John C. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Kareem J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).

Arbil is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Amanat Baghdad is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Arbil is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home match between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Erbil	8	5	2	1	12:3	9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbil
Iraqi Premier League
28.05.26	Zakho - Arbil	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Al-Shorta Baghdad - Arbil	0:2 ✺
16.05.26	Arbil - Newroz	0:1 ✺
11.05.26	Najaf - Arbil	1:4 ✺
06.05.26	Arbil - Al-Kahraba	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLWT
- Amanat Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League
27.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Gharraf	1:3 ✺
19.05.26	Diyala - Amanat Baghdad	1:4 ✺
15.05.26	Amanat Baghdad - Al-Kahraba	0:1 ✺
11.05.26	Al-Karkh - Amanat Baghdad	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Najaf - Amanat Baghdad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Iraqi Premier League
31.01.26	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:1
29.02.24	Arbil - Amanat Baghdad	4:1
15.02.22	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:1
17.06.19	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	2:0
29.07.13	Amanat Baghdad - Arbil	1:0

Upcoming Matches