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Current Win Probability
Zakho 31.2%
Draw 32.5%
Arbil 36.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35%
29.3%
35.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.2%
29.5%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zakho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zakho than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Zakho - Arbil Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
69', 0 - 1, Mihrab I. ⚽, Raad A. (A),
80', 1 - 1, Ahmed Z. ⚽, Saadoon M. (A),
90+9', 2 - 1, Temirov S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 15th and 5th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zakho won 3.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Arbil may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Zakho has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:11 (averaging 1.4:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Zakho against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 1.8:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Erbil
11
5
3
3
14:7
7
18
15
Zakho
11
3
3
5
9:15
-6
12
Last Results with these Odds
Zakho - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.01%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.
Iraq
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