Match Info

Championship - Round 2

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Gayfield Park (Arbroath)

Referee: Stirling C. (Sco)


	Arbroath		Inverness

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.40	2.15
	2.85	3.20	2.20
	2.85	3.30	2.33	Watch
	3.42	3.30	2.34
	2.99	3.48	2.26	Watch
	3.35	3.00	2.30
	2.97	3.61	2.28	Watch
	2.95	3.35	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.84)	3.33 ↓ (3.52)	2.27 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arbroath
30.9%

Draw
28%

Inverness
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.5%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.4%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arbroath has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Inverness has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arbroath - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Inverness will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. McAdams A. (G) 5. O'Brien T. (C) 26. Mackie S. 12. Stewart S. 16. Watson C. 15. McGill S. 20. Constable S. 11. Dow R. 14. McKenna M. 9. Winter A. 10. Reilly G.	1. Munro R. (G) 2. MacLeod C. 3. Boutin N. 6. Devine D. (C) 5. Savage R. 8. Mackinnon A. 4. Shinnie G. 16. Duncan R. 36. Bavidge A. 17. Sole L. 35. Stewart A.
Substitutes
. Beadling T. 18. Beattie C. 19. Daly C. . Dewar C. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 17. Robinson S.	7. Allan P. 19. Bates M. 18. Chalmers J. 20. Kargbo H. 14. Keir M. 11. Longstaff L. 26. MacGregor R. 21. Ross L. (G) 15. Smith K.
Coaches
Hamilton C.	Kellacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', O'Brien T. 🟨,
26', Constable S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Stewart S. ↓, Dewar C. ↑,
46', MacLeod C. 🟨,
62', Reilly G. ↓, Robinson S. ↑,
67', Mackie S. 🟨,
67', Mackinnon A. ↓, Allan P. ↑,
67', Bavidge A. ↓, Bates M. ↑,
68', McGill S. ↓, Beadling T. ↑,
79', Sole L. 🟨,
79', Sole L. ↓, Longstaff L. ↑,
87', Stewart A. ↓, Keir M. ↑,
90+3', Bates M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 4.

In recent matches, Arbroath has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Inverness is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arbroath won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Arbroath won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Inverness: 4.71% Arbroath: 1.23%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Arbroath	9	3	2	4	6:13	-7	11
8	Inverness	8	2	4	2	9:9	0	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Ayr United - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Arbroath - Stirling Albion	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Arbroath - Montrose	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Dundee United - Arbroath	3:0 ✺
11.07.26	Spartans - Arbroath	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Inverness - Dunfermline Athletic	0:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
25.07.26	Greenock Morton - Inverness	0:1 ✺
21.07.26	Inverness - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Linlithgow Rose - Inverness	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Inverness - East Fife	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
26.04.25	Inverness - Arbroath	3:0
08.02.25	Arbroath - Inverness	3:0
14.12.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:2
05.10.24	Arbroath - Inverness	1:0
Scottish League Cup
23.07.24	Inverness - Arbroath	0:1 penalties
Scottish Football Championship
06.04.24	Inverness - Arbroath	2:1
24.02.24	Arbroath - Inverness	1:1

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