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Current Win Probability
Stenhousemuir 27.6%
Draw 30%
Raith Rovers 42.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.8%
29.9%
41.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
29.1%
42.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Stenhousemuir will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Raith will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Jamieson D. (G) 24. Grant L. 5. Young S. 19. Bright S. 2. Meechan R. (C) 17. Anderson M. 8. Robson F. 37. MacIntyre O. 7. O'Reilly E. 20. Stevenson G. 10. Shinnie A.
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. Baird J. 4. Hanlon P. 3. Delaney Z. 20. Brown S. (C) 8. Turner K. 7. Lyall A. 25. Montagu K. 15. Tiffoney S. 9. Oakley G.
Substitutes
14. Bilham K. 4. Buchanan G. 15. Carrick D. 39. Gillies M. 34. Hemfrey R. (G) 21. Hodgkiss L. 36. Lloyd L. 11. O'Donnell L. 28. Penman C.
13. Armstrong L. (G) 5. Fordyce C. 18. McMullan P. 22. Millen R. 16. Stevenson L.
Coaches
Bartley M.
Imrie D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Anderson M. ⚽, Young S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Montagu K. ↓, McMullan P. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Rowe J. ⚽, Lyall A. (A),
56', Grant L. 🟨,
56', Turner K. 🟨,
67', Robson F. ↓, Gillies M. ↑,
67', MacIntyre O. ↓, Bilham K. ↑,
69', Delaney Z. ↓, Stevenson L. ↑,
72', Stevenson G. ↓, O'Donnell L. ↑,
72', O'Reilly E. ↓, Hodgkiss L. ↑,
83', Young S. 🟨,
86', Shinnie A. ↓, Carrick D. ↑,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premiership and 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 0.
Stenhousemuir has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Raith is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Stenhousemuir could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Raith holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Stenhousemuir has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stenhousemuir against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Stenhousemuir
13
7
2
4
13:12
1
23
3
Raith
12
6
3
3
16:9
7
21
Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now
Raith: 11.83% Stenhousemuir: 9.93%
Last Results with these Odds
Raith Rovers - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Jamieson D. (G) 
Rowe J. 
Delaney Z. 
Lloyd L. 
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