Match Info

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday


	Stenhousemuir		Raith Rovers

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.10	2.15
	3.25	3.00	2.20
	3.29	3.11	2.27
	3.24	3.12	2.26	Watch
	3.16	3.02	2.18
	3.20	3.05	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↓ (3.24)	3.07 ↓ (3.12)	2.21 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
28.6%

Draw
29.9%

Raith Rovers
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.9%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Premiership and 2nd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 0.

In recent outings, Stenhousemuir has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Raith is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Raith may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Raith is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Stenhousemuir has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:12 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stenhousemuir against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Scottish Football Championship for now

Stenhousemuir: 21.23% Raith: 15.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	9	7	1	1	12:4	8	22
2	Raith	10	6	2	2	15:6	9	20

Last Results with these Odds

Raith Rovers - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Ayr United - Stenhousemuir	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Partick Thistle	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Cup
11.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Hearts	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LWWWL
- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
10.10.26	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Raith Rovers - Arbroath	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
01.08.26	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	1:1
Scottish League One
06.04.19	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	1:1
05.01.19	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	5:1
17.11.18	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	1:3
11.08.18	Raith Rovers - Stenhousemuir	2:0
Scottish Challenge Cup
18.08.15	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	2:0

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