Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stark's Park (Kirkcaldy) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stirling C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	Raith TV


	Raith Rovers		Inverness

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.90
	2.20	3.10	2.85
	2.23	3.20	2.95	Watch
	2.47	3.20	3.17
	2.51	3.23	2.81	Watch
	2.35	3.10	3.10
	2.34	2.99	2.90
	2.29	3.20	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)	3.15 ↓ (3.16)	2.96 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raith Rovers
39.6%

Draw
29.2%

Inverness
31.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.9%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.3%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Raith Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Inverness has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raith Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inverness than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Raith Rovers - Inverness Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Raith will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Inverness will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rae J. (G) 2. Rowe J. 6. Baird J. 4. Hanlon P. 16. Stevenson L. 20. Brown S. (C) 8. Turner K. 18. McMullan P. 7. Lyall A. 15. Tiffoney S. 9. Oakley G.	1. Munro R. (G) 2. MacLeod C. 5. Savage R. 15. Smith K. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 7. Allan P. 26. MacGregor R. 17. Sole L. 35. Stewart A. 9. Stewart L. 36. Bavidge A.
Substitutes
13. Armstrong L. (G) 3. Delaney Z. 5. Fordyce C. 22. Millen R. 25. Montagu K.	19. Bates M. 3. Boutin N. 16. Duncan R. 12. MacKay D. 20. Osong D. E. 21. Ross L. (G) 10. Wotherspoon D.
Coaches
Imrie D.	Kellacher S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
14', 0 - 1, Stewart A. ⚽, Stewart L. (A),
22', MacGregor R. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Stewart A. ⚽, Stewart L. (A),
44', Rowe J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Lyall A. ↓, Montagu K. ↑,
64', Sole L. ↓, Duncan R. ↑,
70', Brown S. 🟨,
71', Rowe J. ↓, Millen R. ↑,
77', Stewart L. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
89', Stevenson L. 🟨,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals) and 4th in the Promotion - Premiership (Promotion: Quarter - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raith won 5.

Raith has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Inverness is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Raith could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Raith has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:22 (averaging 1.3:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Raith against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.8:1.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Raith	12	6	3	3	16:9	7	21
5	Inverness	12	5	4	3	16:11	5	19

Last Results with these Odds

Raith Rovers - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.35%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raith Rovers
Scottish Football Championship
17.10.26	Stenhousemuir - Raith Rovers	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Raith Rovers - Queens Park	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Greenock Morton - Raith Rovers	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Partick Thistle - Raith Rovers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TWWLT
- Inverness CT
Scottish Football Championship
17.10.26	Inverness - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Queens Park - Inverness	2:1 ✺
10.10.26	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Inverness - Greenock Morton	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
05.09.26	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:2
Scottish Challenge Cup
05.04.26	Raith Rovers - Inverness	4:1
Scottish League Cup
26.07.25	Raith Rovers - Inverness	5:1
Club Friendly
06.07.24	Raith Rovers - Inverness	1:0
Scottish Football Championship
19.04.24	Inverness - Raith Rovers	0:1
27.01.24	Raith Rovers - Inverness	2:3
02.12.23	Inverness - Raith Rovers	1:2

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