Match Info

Championship - Round 12

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Home of the Set Fare Arena (Livingston) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Hardie R. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
United Kingdom	15:00	Livingston TV


	Livingston		Arbroath

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.33	7.00
	1.32	4.60	7.25
	1.38	4.35	6.75	Watch
	1.40	4.72	8.50
	1.35	5	8	Watch
	1.38	4.40	8.40
	1.33	4.60	7.30
	1.34	4.90	7.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)	4.61 ↓ (4.9)	7.6 ↓ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livingston
67.9%

Draw
20%

Arbroath
12.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.2%

19.1%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

13.2%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livingston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Livingston - Arbroath Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Prior J. (G) 22. Doherty J. 23. Kabongolo B. 5. McGowan R. (C) 4. Wilkie J. 8. Pittman S. 20. Danso E. 39. Polworth L. 10. Nicholson S. 9. Muirhead R. 7. Sinclair T.	1. McAdams A. (G) 16. Watson C. 5. O'Brien T. (C) 22. Dewar C. 4. Paterson B. 12. Stewart S. 25. MacIntyre J. 17. Reid D. 11. Dow R. 14. McKenna M. 10. Reilly G.
Substitutes
25. Anderson B. 30. Blaney S. 6. Denholm A. 3. Fati B. 14. Hamilton J. (G) 15. MacPherson C. 17. May S. 16. Palmer C. 19. van Hoeven B.	19. Daly C. 7. Gold D. 3. Hamilton C. 26. Mackie S. 21. Pettigrew J. (G) 9. Winter A.
Coaches
Martindale D.	Hamilton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Polworth L. 🟨,
45', Paterson B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Danso E. ↓, Denholm A. ↑,
55', McKenna M. 🟨,
59', Sinclair T. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
67', Stewart S. 🟨,
69', Nicholson S. ↓, May S. ↑,
70', Polworth L. ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
70', O'Brien T. ↓, Winter A. ↑,
75', MacIntyre J. 🟨,
80', Reilly G. ↓, Daly C. ↑,
90', McKenna M. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 0, McGowan R. ⚽,

Preview

A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6th and 8th).

In recent outings, Livingston has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Arbroath has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this match, Livingston enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Livingston has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:1 (averaging 1.5:0.5 goals per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Livingston	12	5	2	5	15:11	4	17
8	Arbroath	12	3	2	7	7:18	-11	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livingston FC
Scottish Football Championship
17.10.26	Dunfermline Athletic - Livingston	0:0 ✺
10.10.26	Livingston - Partick Thistle	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Livingston - Ayr United	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Raith Rovers - Livingston	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Livingston - Inverness	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWT
- Arbroath
Scottish Football Championship
17.10.26	Inverness - Arbroath	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Arbroath - Greenock Morton	1:2 ✺
03.10.26	Partick Thistle - Arbroath	3:0 ✺
25.09.26	Arbroath - Queens Park	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Stenhousemuir - Arbroath	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Football Championship
29.08.26	Arbroath - Livingston	1:0
Club Friendly
16.07.14	Arbroath - Livingston	0:3

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