The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arenas Club de Getxo 51.9%
Draw 33%
Unionistas de Salamanca 15%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41%
30%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
28.5%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arenas Club de Getxo's performance.
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unionistas de Salamanca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arenas Club de Getxo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unionistas de Salamanca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arenas Club de Getxo - Unionistas de Salamanca Predictions
13. Pena A. (G) 4. Alvarez P. 15. Diocou B. 10. Hidalgo A. 12. Lartitegi J. 19. Mutilva C. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 21. Sillero J. (C) 16. Verde A. 8. Zabala M. 20. Zabaleta E.
1. Marino U. (G) 24. Abde 10. de la Nava C. 5. Farru 11. Gomez A. 6. Juanje 22. Lendinez J. 8. Lopez J. 4. Mayor R. (C) 2. Olmedo V. 19. Prada R.
Substitutes
7. Collado U. 5. Garcia P. 1. Gastesi O. (G) 3. Herranz Jimenez G. 18. Honrado A. 25. Jarauta J. (G) 22. Mattheus C. 14. Messina F. 23. Sustatxa A. 9. Vazquez A.
9. Alex Pachon 18. de Bustos H. 20. Encuentra J. 3. Gorjon A. 21. Marco P. 7. Moreno I. 14. Roldan L. 12. Santiago A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Hidalgo A. ⚽,
22', Zabaleta E. 🟨,
30', Verde A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Garcia P. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Abde ⚽,
55', Lartitegi J. ↓, Collado U. ↑,
57', Farru 🟨,
62', Gomez A. ↓, de Bustos H. ↑,
73', 2 - 1, Collado U. ⚽,
76', Zabaleta E. ↓, Herranz Jimenez G. ↑,
77', Abde ↓, Marco P. ↑,
77', Juanje ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
83', Diocou B. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
83', Hidalgo A. ↓, Mattheus C. ↑,
85', Mayor R. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
85', Lopez J. ↓, Encuentra J. ↑,
90+1', de Bustos H. 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
Preview
Arenas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Unionistas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Unionistas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Arenas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Arenas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Arenas Club de Getxo - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Unionistas de Salamanca - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 29.01%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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Pena A. (G) 
Abde 
Messina F. 
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