Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Barreiro (Vigo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Celta de Vigo B		Arenas Club de Getxo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	1.92	3.2	3.8
	1.96	3.28	4
	1.27	4.81	12.82	Watch
	1.98	3.23	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 (1.81)	3.52 ↑ (3.28)	5.67 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celta de Vigo B
54.6%

Draw
28%

Arenas Club de Getxo
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

27.3%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celta de Vigo B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Arenas Club de Getxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celta de Vigo B than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Celta de Vigo B - Arenas Club de Getxo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrillo J. B. (G) 2. Gavian P. 6. Meixus P. 26. Rodriguez A. 18. Lopez J. 7. Gonzalez H. 16. Capdevila A. 5. Burcio H. 19. Marcos O. 11. Arcos A. 17. Somuah B.	13. Pena A. (G) 21. Sillero J. 4. Alvarez P. 5. Garcia P. 20. Zabaleta E. 22. Mattheus C. 16. Verde A. 10. Hidalgo A. 15. Diocou B. 17. Rodriguez J. L. 7. Collado U.
Substitutes
8. Antanon A. 21. Bilbao L. 13. Caio Barone (G) 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 9. Marin A. 23. Miller G. 14. Oliveras J. 27. Rodriguez N. 20. Tarba I.	1. Gastesi O. (G) 18. Honrado A. 12. Lartitegi J. 14. Messina F. 19. Mutilva C. 23. Sustatxa A. 9. Vazquez A. 8. Zabala M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Marcos O. ⚽,
29', Vazquez A. 🟨,
32', Verde A. ↓, Zabala M. ↑,
37', Garcia P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Somuah B. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
47', Sillero J. 🟨,
59', Mattheus C. ↓, Mutilva C. ↑,
60', 🟨,
71', Capdevila A. ↓, Antanon A. ↑,
73', Hidalgo A. ↓, Vazquez A. ↑,
73', Zabaleta E. ↓, Messina F. ↑,
73', Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Honrado A. ↑,
77', 🟨,
78', Gavian P. ↓, Miller G. ↑,
78', Gonzalez H. ↓, Bilbao L. ↑,
86', Lopez J. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arenas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Celta de Vigo B is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celta de Vigo B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.09.25	Mérida AD - Celta de Vigo B	2:4 ✺
07.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - CD Guadalajara	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B	0:3 ✺
17.08.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ourense CF	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLTWL
- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.09.25	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Cacereño	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
13.08.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTWWL

Upcoming Matches