Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.9	3.15	4.05
	1.95	3.25	4.15
	2.94	2.23	3.50	Watch
	1.9	3.24	4.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.13)	2.95 ↑ (2.94)	3.9 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
44.1%

Draw
31.8%

Real Avilés
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.9%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Unionistas de Salamanca aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Unionistas de Salamanca - Real Avilés Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Real Avilés (1.98) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Avilés (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 5. Farru 4. Mayor R. 19. Prada R. 24. Abde 8. Lopez J. 22. Lendinez J. 6. Juanje 11. Gomez A. 10. de la Nava C.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Ortega G. 16. Gomez A. 5. Babin J. 20. Campabadal E. 8. Bautista K. 18. Gete A. 7. Hernandez R. 14. Cayarga B. 22. Isi Ros 9. Santamaria A.
Substitutes
9. Alex Pachon 18. de Bustos H. 20. Encuentra J. 17. Gabriel Palmero 3. Gorjon A. 21. Marco P. 7. Moreno I. 14. Roldan L. 12. Santiago A. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)	13. Almodovar N. (G) 21. Alvarez P. 17. Bari Q. 26. Carracedo O. 15. Chukwuma E. 3. Diaz V. 12. Granero B. 19. Poquet N. 4. Rodriguez J. 11. Rubio R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Isi Ros ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Isi Ros ⚽,
60', 1 - 2, de la Nava C. ⚽,
64', Isi Ros ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
64', Gete A. ↓, Granero B. ↑,
69', Abde ↓, de Bustos H. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Gomez A. ⚽,
77', Lendinez J. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
83', (Pen),
87', 3 - 2, Olmedo V. ⚽,
90+4', Carracedo O. 🟨,
90+6', Gomez A. ↓, Moreno I. ↑,
90+12', 🟨,

Preview

Unionistas is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Avilés has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Avilés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Unionistas is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	CD Guadalajara - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Osasuna B	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Mérida AD	2:5 ✺
13.08.25	Real Ávila - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLLW
- Real Avilés
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Real Avilés - Osasuna B	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Lugo - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
31.08.25	Real Avilés - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Marino de Luanco - Real Avilés	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Mosconia - Real Avilés	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTLWL

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