Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 22

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Flekkerøy

	1	X	2
	1.24	5.9	8.6
	1.2	7.02	10.9
	1.00	15.97	25.00	Watch
	1.21	5.95	9.75
	1.33	5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.32)	7.97 ↑ (5.15)	12.25 ↑ (7.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
80.1%

Draw
12%

Flekkerøy
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

17.7%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

12.5%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.

Flekkerøy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-31.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flekkerøy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arendal - Flekkerøy Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arendal (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 15. Curic A. 16. Helgesen E. 10. Kvinge M. 25. Nilsen A. E. 18. Nygaard S. 4. Opsahl A. 20. Osterud A. (C) 17. Suggelia H. 14. Trengereid M. 11. Victorio M.	12. Solberg I. (G) 10. Andersen H. 30. Brandal N. 9. Frostad P. R. 4. Gravdahl J. 6. Johnsen D. W. 15. Lillehammer F. 11. Nahiry E. 22. Ringsbu S. 17. Ronningen O. (C) 14. Tjoland M.
Substitutes
3. Arezou A. 28. Bamba D. 13. Fevang T. (G) 19. Ibishi D. 41. Jonassen J. 21. Lovseth R. 9. Myrbakk J. 7. Skjold A.	3. Byklum H. 8. Gamachis D. 13. Johnsen E. 1. Kristiansen M. (G) 19. Kvalsvik G. 21. Levinsen Arild J. 7. Richardsen S. 23. Seim J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Suggelia H. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Suggelia H. ⚽,
22', 3 - 0, Helgesen E. ⚽,
36', Ringsbu S. ↓, Richardsen S. ↑,
36', Gravdahl J. ↓, Gamachis D. ↑,
42', 4 - 0, Suggelia H. ⚽,
44', Nygaard S. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Ronningen O. ↓, Byklum H. ↑,
46', Frostad P. R. ↓, Kvalsvik G. ↑,
47', 5 - 0, Curic A. ⚽,
56', Trengereid M. ↓, Ibishi D. ↑,
56', Victorio M. ↓, Lovseth R. ↑,
59', Gamachis D. 🟨,
66', 6 - 0, Kvalsvik G. (Own goal),
66', Suggelia H. ↓, Bamba D. ↑,
66', Osterud A. ↓, Myrbakk J. ↑,
68', 7 - 0, Bamba D. ⚽,
69', Nilsen A. E. 🟨,
75', Kvinge M. ↓, Jonassen J. ↑,
77', Richardsen S. 🟨,
84', 8 - 0, Myrbakk J. ⚽,
89', 9 - 0, Jonassen J. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 2.

In recent matches, Arendal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Flekkerøy is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Arendal is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:18. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Arendal won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 27:7. (average 2.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
21.09.25	Træff - Arendal	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	Sotra - Arendal	3:1 ✺
30.08.25	Arendal - Pors	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
27.08.25	Arendal - Egersund	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TTLWL
- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
20.09.25	Flekkerøy - Sandnes Ulf	0:2 ✺
14.09.25	Lysekloster - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
06.09.25	Flekkerøy - Notodden	2:2 ✺
31.08.25	Træff - Flekkerøy	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Flekkerøy - Brattvåg	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.03.25	Flekkerøy - Arendal	1:1
19.10.24	Flekkerøy - Arendal	1:0
14.04.24	Arendal - Flekkerøy	2:1
19.08.23	Flekkerøy - Arendal	3:0
08.07.23	Arendal - Flekkerøy	3:0
17.09.22	Arendal - Flekkerøy	1:0
02.07.22	Flekkerøy - Arendal	3:1

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