Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Arenteiro		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.38	2.92	3
	2.47	3.1	3.06
	2.41	2.99	3.08	Watch
	2.45	2.92	3.13
	2.12	3.05	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.35)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)	3.12 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
39.6%

Draw
31%

Barakaldo
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

31.9%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.9%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Arenteiro - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 3. Lohr L. 15. Moreno D. 6. Val B. 25. Bastida A. 10. De Camargo W. 7. Ferreiro D. 12. Ochoa M. 18. Mingo V.	1. Ispizua I. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 4. Dufur U. 18. Arana M. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 6. Naveira U. 8. Huidobro J. 11. Perez E. 10. Sabin 9. Valino A.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 4. Falcon E. 44. Gimenez F. 8. Gonzalez D. 16. Guerrero J. 30. Iglesias F. 21. Llacer L. 2. Moya P. 24. Richarte R. 14. Safrai	23. Albizua U. 13. Campos G. (G) 17. de Leon J. 19. Galarza A. 3. Garcia B. 15. Jimenez I. 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 7. Pedernales I. 24. Ropero I. 21. San Bartolome V. 22. Torra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Arana M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', Huidobro J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
60', Mandiang S. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
60', Sabin ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
64', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
69', Valino A. ↓, Galarza A. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Perez E. ⚽,
85', de Jesus B. 🟨,
86', 1 - 1, Mingo V. ⚽,
89', Lopez O. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+5', Perez E. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arenteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Arenteiro is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Arenteiro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Arenteiro - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.86%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Barakaldo - the odds 3.12 are the expected chance of winning is 29.24%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Celta de Vigo B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Cacereño - Arenteiro	0:2 ✺
07.09.25	Arenteiro - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LTWWL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.09.25	Barakaldo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Barakaldo - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Barakaldo - Zamora	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Mérida AD - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.02.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1
05.10.24	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	2:0

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