Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 7

Date: 9 October 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Arezzo		Cesena

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.47
	5.5	4	1.55	Watch
	5.49	4.05	1.51
	5	3.8	1.53
	5.45	4.2	1.47	Watch
	5.4	4.1	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↓ (5.37)	4.03 ↑ (3.74)	1.5 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
17%

Draw
22.6%

Cesena
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

24.7%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

24.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Cesena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cesena than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Arezzo - Cesena Predictions

Users Predictions: Cesena will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Trombini L. (G) 27. Coccia L. 13. Chiosa M. 4. Risaliti G. 14. Renzi A. 5. Bianchi S. 16. Eklu S. M. 8. Settembrini A. 19. Iori M. 28. Gucci N. 10. Pattarello E.	1. Pisseri M. (G) 28. Silvestri L. 19. Prestia G. 15. Ciofi A. 24. Pierozzi E. 20. De Rose F. (C) 5. Varone I. 17. Adamo E. 14. Berti T. 18. Corazza S. 9. Shpendi C.
Substitutes
22. Borra D. (G) 21. Castiglia L. 26. Crisafi J. F. 18. Damiani M. 12. Ermini J. (G) 24. Foglia F. 11. Gaddini M. 7. Guccione F. 9. Kozak L. 17. Lazzarini M. 2. Montini A. 23. Poggesi A. 20. Zona S.	6. Bumbu J. 4. Chiarello R. 25. David A. 70. Francesconi M. 30. Giovannini A. 8. Hraiech S. 10. Kargbo A. 26. Piacentini M. 73. Pieraccini S. 3. Pitti E. 61. Siano A. (G) 34. Veliaj G. (G)

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Recent matches Arezzo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cesena in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cesena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Cesena is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Coppa Italia Serie C
03.10.23	Arezzo - Lucchese	3:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.09.23	Arezzo - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Virtus Entella - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
19.09.23	Arezzo - Olbia	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Pescara - Arezzo	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LTWTL
- AC Cesena
Italian Serie C Group B
01.10.23	Cesena - Rimini	5:2 ✺
27.09.23	Cesena - SPAL	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Fermana - Cesena	0:4 ✺
19.09.23	Cesena - Ancona	4:0 ✺
15.09.23	Pontedera - Cesena	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.05.21	Cesena - Arezzo	3:1
16.01.21	Arezzo - Cesena	0:2
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Cesena - Arezzo	2:0

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