Match Info

Date: 21 February 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Arezzo		Matelica

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	2.1	3.4	2.95
	1.9	3	4
	2.02	3.35	3.1
	2.08	3.88	3.24
	1.95	3.75	3.3
	2.04	3.5	3.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.41)	3.45 ↑ (3.13)	3.32 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arezzo
45.8%

Draw
26.6%

Matelica
27.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

28.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

20.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matelica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (-4%)

Arezzo - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Matelica could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arezzo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
17.02.21	Padova - Arezzo	2:0 ✺
14.02.21	Arezzo - Carpi	3:3 ✺
07.02.21	Virtus Verona - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Arezzo - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Perugia - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTTLL
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
18.02.21	Matelica - Mantova	0:0 ✺
15.02.21	Modena - Matelica	4:1 ✺
07.02.21	Matelica - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
03.02.21	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Matelica	4:2 ✺
31.01.21	FeralpiSalò - Matelica	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.20	Matelica - Arezzo	2:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie B
01.11.26	Arezzo - Ascoli	✺
28.10.26	Carrarese - Arezzo	✺

Arezzo - Matelica