Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 13

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Renato Curi (Perugia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
World	Onefootball


	Perugia		Arezzo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.3	1.8
	4.59	3.4	1.8
	4.88	3.43	1.72	Watch
	4.4	3.2	1.78	Watch
	4.75	3.33	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.57 ↓ (4.88)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	1.76 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Perugia
20.1%

Draw
27.6%

Arezzo
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19%

27%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

26.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Perugia - Arezzo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Arezzo (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arezzo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gemello L. (G) 31. Tozzuolo A. 28. Riccardi D. 5. Angella G. 26. Calapai L. 32. Megelaitis L. 16. Bartolomei P. 20. Tumbarello G. 7. Kanoute M. 9. Montevago D. 77. Manzari G.	22. Venturi G. (G) 26. De Col F. 15. Gigli N. 13. Gilli M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 7. Guccione F. (C) 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
11. Bacchin L. 30. Giardino C. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 4. Joselito 12. Moro L. (G) 29. Ogunseye R. 71. Rondolini P. 17. Terrnava D. 24. Torrasi E. 22. Vinti L. (G) 3. Yabre M.	23. Arena M. 19. Chiosa M. 83. Ferrara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 78. Iaccarino G. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Manzari G. 🟨,
13', Guccione F. 🟨,
15', Kanoute M. 🟨,
16', De Col F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Guccione F. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
47', Iaccarino G. 🟥,
61', Tumbarello G. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
61', Kanoute M. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
62', 🟨,
62', Manzari G. 🟨,
68', Cianci P. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
74', Gigli N. 🟨,
79', Bartolomei P. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
90+5', Righetti S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 1.

Recent form of Perugia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arezzo is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Perugia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arezzo is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
02.11.25	Pontedera - Perugia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.10.25	Latina - Perugia	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.25	Perugia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Pineto - Perugia	3:0 ✺
11.10.25	Perugia - Rimini	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLL
- SS Arezzo
Italian Serie C Group B
01.11.25	Arezzo - Campobasso	5:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Arezzo - Sassari Torres	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Ternana - Arezzo	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Ravenna - Arezzo	0:3 ✺
10.10.25	Arezzo - Gubbio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.04.25	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:2
Italian Serie C Group B
22.11.24	Perugia - Arezzo	2:0
21.04.24	Perugia - Arezzo	1:1
18.12.23	Arezzo - Perugia	2:0
31.01.21	Perugia - Arezzo	3:0
05.10.20	Arezzo - Perugia	0:1

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