The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 63.2%
Draw 24.2%
Carpi 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.5%
24.2%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
23.1%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arezzo's performance.
Carpi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carpi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carpi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arezzo - Carpi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 6. Renzi A. 19. Chiosa M. 13. Gilli M. 37. Righetti S. 24. Chierico L. 7. Guccione F. 8. Eklu S. M. 10. Pattarello E. 91. Ravasio M. 21. Tavernelli C.
1. Sorzi M. (G) 19. Rossini M. 17. Lombardi L. 6. Panelli T. 7. Cecotti T. 5. Figoli M. 29. Rosetti M. 3. Rigo M. 11. Casarini F. 23. Sall A. 9. Gerbi E.
Substitutes
23. Arena M. 71. Cianci P. 26. De Col F. 77. Dell'Aquila F. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 78. Iaccarino G. 14. Meli M. 45. Perrotta F. 3. Tito F. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M.
8. Amayah P. 70. Arcopinto A. 72. Cortesi M. 20. Forte R. 90. Perta A. A. (G) 80. Pietra N. 22. Scacchetti A. (G) 10. Stanzani L. 2. Verza N. 77. Visani R. 4. Zagnoni D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Sall A. ⚽,
19', Figoli M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 1, Renzi A. ⚽,
25', Rigo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rigo M. ↓, Verza N. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Tavernelli C. ⚽,
62', Pattarello E. ↓, Iaccarino G. ↑,
62', Chierico L. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
63', Ravasio M. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
66', Sall A. ↓, Forte R. ↑,
67', Panelli T. ↓, Zagnoni D. ↑,
78', Figoli M. ↓, Pietra N. ↑,
81', Rosetti M. 🟨,
82', Rosetti M. ↓, Stanzani L. ↑,
83', Eklu S. M. ↓, Gigli N. ↑,
83', Tavernelli C. ↓, Perrotta F. ↑,
90', Varela Djamanca M. 🟨,
90+2', Forte R. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Varela Djamanca M. ⚽,
90+9', Rossini M. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 11).
Arezzo is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Carpi's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Arezzo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Arezzo is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Arezzo will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Italy
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Venturi G. (G) 
Eklu S. M. 
Sall A. 
Varela Djamanca M. 
Amayah P. 
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