Match Info

Primera B - Round 30

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva (Merlo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Argentino de Merlo		Ituzaingó

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.30	4.75
	1.65	3.25	4.8	Watch
	1.67	3.36	5.12
	1.67	3.36	5.09	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5.05
	1.63	3.34	5.34
	1.65	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	3.31 ↓ (3.45)	4.99 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Merlo
54.6%

Draw
27.3%

Ituzaingó
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

26.2%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

19.7%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Merlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Merlo than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Merlo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituzaingó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 9. Aguirre D. E. 4. Cacace J. 3. Lopez V. 6. Maceri B. 7. Ortiz J. . Romero L. 10. Scisci G. 5. Sica N. 2. Tamborelli E. 8. Ursino D.	1. Barraza L. (G) 8. Campusano M. 5. Desposito P. 9. Gras S. 6. Mantovani E. 2. Martinez J. 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 3. Politano A. 7. Salvadores J. 4. Sotelo A.
Substitutes
17. Gomez M. 18. Jerez T. 13. Lopez F. 20. Maldonado F. 14. Marcial C. 12. Oviedo G. (G) 16. Paz Sierra L. 15. Rodriguez J. 19. Sellecchia F.	13. Aguirre M. 12. Almiron A. (G) 16. Barea T. 14. Bermejo M. 15. Fanti J. 18. Ibanez E. 19. Luppino F. 20. Mariani B. 17. Santiago N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Politano A. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Romero L. ⚽,
11', Medina C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', 🟨,
68', Mena L. ↓, Fanti J. ↑,
70', Medina C. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
73', Politano A. 🟨,
77', Ortiz J. ↓, Sellecchia F. ↑,
81', Miranda A. ↓, Mariani B. ↑,
85', Politano A. 🟥,
87', Gras S. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
87', Salvadores J. ↓, Ibanez E. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 2.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Ituzaingó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Argentino de Merlo is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Merlo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Merlo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Argentino de Merlo	38	11	11	16	33:39	-6	44
22	Ituzaingo	38	1	12	25	25:62	-37	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Merlo
Argentinian Primera B
08.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Armenio	2:2 ✺
14.07.26	Deportivo Flandria - Argentino de Merlo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLTL
- CA Ituzaingó
Argentinian Primera B
07.08.26	Ituzaingó - Deportivo Camioneros	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - Ituzaingó	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Ituzaingó - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Ituzaingó - San Martín de Burzaco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
03.04.26	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	0:1
11.09.23	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	0:0
08.05.23	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	0:0
Argentinian Primera C
18.12.21	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	3:0 penalties
13.12.21	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	2:0
29.10.21	Argentino de Merlo - Ituzaingó	2:2
04.07.21	Ituzaingó - Argentino de Merlo	3:1

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