The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 54.2%
Draw 28.5%
Ituzaingó 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
28.8%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.1%
29.7%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Laferrere's performance.
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ituzaingó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Laferrere that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ituzaingó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Laferrere - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Libares T. (G) 11. Benitez A. 6. Cavoret I. 3. Mamani L. 9. Moran J. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 2. Solis D. 5. Trejo E. 8. Vivas N.
1. Barraza L. (G) 4. Bermejo M. 5. Campusano M. 3. Fanti J. 8. Luppino F. 2. Mantovani E. (C) 9. Mariani B. 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 7. Regules I. 6. Salvadores J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Vivas N. ⚽,
20', Portillo B. 🟨,
35', Trejo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mariani B. ↓, Gras S. ↑,
53', Fanti J. 🟨,
54', 2 - 0, Romero F. ⚽,
57', Barraza L. 🟥,
60', Bermejo M. ↓, Almiron A. ↑,
60', Romero F. ↓, Digangi M. ↑,
61', Campusano M. ↓, Aguirre M. ↑,
62', Portillo B. ↓, Biondi R. ↑,
63', Trejo E. ↓, Denis J. ↑,
64', Luppino F. ↓, Barea T. ↑,
72', Regules I. ↓, Politano A. ↑,
72', Mena L. ↓, Ibanez E. ↑,
76', Salvadores J. 🟨,
79', Ortiz F. ↓, Digion R. ↑,
85', Visco A. ↓, Atardo G. ↑,
87', 🟨,
87', Ibanez E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 3.
Deportivo Laferrere is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Ituzaingó's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Deportivo Laferrere is the team to beat.
We predict that Deportivo Laferrere will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
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Libares T. (G) 
Miranda A. 
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