The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituzaingó 26.5%
Draw 31.4%
San Martín de Burzaco 42.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
30.6%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.6%
30%
37.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituzaingó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituzaingó's form might have worsened.
San Martín de Burzaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituzaingó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Ituzaingó - San Martín de Burzaco Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. SM de Burzaco will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. SM de Burzaco (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barraza L. (G) 3. Bermejo M. 5. Campusano M. 4. Fanti J. 2. Mantovani E. 9. Mariani B. 10. Mena L. 11. Miranda A. 7. Regules I. 6. Salvadores J. 8. Sotelo A.
1. Gagliardo M. (G) 9. Chavez B. 5. Denis K. 11. Gauna N. A. 8. Gonzalez R. 2. Lazarev R. 4. Modon S. 3. Siliman A. 6. Tobon J. 10. Velazquez R. 7. Zagert E.
Substitutes
12. Almiron A. (G) 19. Barea T. 16. Fernandez J. 20. Gras S. 17. Ibanez E. 18. Luppino F. 15. Martinez 13. Politano A. 14. Politano R.
17. Costa L. 18. Diaz R. 14. Escudero M. 20. Funes A. 15. Juarez F. 16. Lezcano L. 12. Marchesi N. (G) 13. Rodriguez J. 19. Treppo E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Chavez B. ⚽,
23', Zagert E. 🟨,
38', Sotelo A. 🟨,
45', Sotelo A. ↓, Gras S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Siliman A. 🟨,
64', Chavez B. ↓, Diaz R. ↑,
64', Velazquez R. ↓, Treppo E. ↑,
70', Zagert E. 🟨,
72', Fanti J. ↓, Luppino F. ↑,
72', Regules I. ↓, Politano A. ↑,
74', Treppo E. 🟨,
75', 1 - 1, Luppino F. ⚽,
80', Gauna N. A. ↓, Funes A. ↑,
83', Denis K. ↓, Lezcano L. ↑,
86', Mantovani E. 🟨,
87', Salvadores J. ↓, Ibanez E. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Funes A. ⚽,
90+4', Lazarev R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 1.
Ituzaingó is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
SM de Burzaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
SM de Burzaco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ituzaingó won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Ituzaingó won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
San Martin Burzaco
38
12
14
12
39:41
-2
50
22
Ituzaingo
38
1
12
25
25:62
-37
15
Last Results with these Odds
Ituzaingó - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.24%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
San Martín de Burzaco - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.15%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
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Barraza L. (G) 
Miranda A. 
Tobon J. 
Martinez 
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