The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 39.7%
Draw 34.2%
Defensores Unidos 26.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
34.5%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
33.7%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Argentino de Quilmes - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 6. Barreto R. 9. Compagnucci M. 3. Diez E. 8. Escudero L. 4. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 11. Guzman L. 7. Martinez J. 5. Vega M. (C) 2. Zarate E.
1. Henricot F. (C) 3. Alarcon M. N. 5. Baigorria A. 9. D'Andrea F. 4. Ferreyra T. 7. Figueroa F. 2. Iribarne S. 6. Lorenzo A. 10. Montani L. 11. Sombra A. 8. Tello H.
Substitutes
15. Benavidez N. 16. Castano S. 17. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 13. Cosciuc F. 14. Lando F. 19. Oyarzun D. 18. Pena D. 20. Quattrocchi J.
15. Bustos M. 17. Carabajal T. 14. Girard T. 13. Gomez Z. 19. Herrera S. 20. Lopez M. 18. Pedraza L. 12. Salerno F. (G) 16. Suarez F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Sombra A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Diez E. ↓, Lando F. ↑,
46', Compagnucci M. ↓, Oyarzun D. ↑,
55', Zarate E. ↓, Cosciuc F. ↑,
60', Escudero L. 🟨,
63', Vega M. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
64', Martinez J. 🟨,
67', Figueroa F. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
67', D'Andrea F. ↓, Girard T. ↑,
67', Sombra A. ↓, Pedraza L. ↑,
67', Montani L. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
71', Guzman L. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
82', Ferreyra T. ↓, Suarez F. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', Escudero L. 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: ) and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 1.
Argentino de Quilmes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Defensores Unidos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Argentino de Quilmes might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).
Watch
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Yzaurralde N. (G) 
Diez E. 
Oyarzun D. 
Pena D. 
Carabajal T. 
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