The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Defensores Unidos 45.3%
Draw 31.6%
Ituzaingó 23.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.9%
27.3%
16.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.2%
21.6%
21.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensores Unidos's form might have worsened.
Ituzaingó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituzaingó's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituzaingó than the current prediction. (-2%)
Defensores Unidos - Ituzaingó Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Henricot F. (G) 2. Iribarne S. 3. Olivera L. 4. Alarcon M. N. 6. Suarez F. 7. Girard T. 10. Montani L. 5. Redondo K. 8. Tello J. 9. Lopez M. 11. Gimenez M. (C)
1. Acevedo H. (G) 2. Mantovani E. (C) 3. Politano A. 5. Maciel E. 4. Sotelo A. 6. Aguirre M. 7. Maza J. 8. Fanti J. 10. Mena L. 9. Gras S. 11. Miranda A.
Substitutes
13. Baigorria A. 16. Carboni B. 18. D'Andrea F. 14. Ferreyra T. 20. Figueroa F. 19. Herrera S. 15. Lorenzo A. 17. Patroni S. 12. Salerno F. (G)
12. Balderrama M. A. (G) 14. Bermejo M. 20. Esquivel T. 15. Fernandez J. 13. Politano R. 18. Sala H. 17. Santiago N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Mena L. ⚽,
13', 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Tello J. ⚽,
36', Girard T. ↓, Patroni S. ↑,
39', Mena L. ↓, Santiago N. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Politano A. 🟨,
65', Tello J. ↓, D'Andrea F. ↑,
68', Sotelo A. 🟨,
71', Gras S. ↓, Lozano F. ↑,
75', Patroni S. 🟨,
78', Politano A. ↓, Bermejo M. ↑,
79', Alarcon M. N. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
89', Santiago N. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,
90+2', Bermejo M. 🟨,
90+3', 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
In recent matches, Defensores Unidos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ituzaingó is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Defensores Unidos is a strong favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
Watch
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Henricot F. (G) 
Miranda A. 
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