The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 65.2%
Draw 23.6%
Fénix 11.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
28.2%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
28.1%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Argentino de Quilmes's performance.
Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-16.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Argentino de Quilmes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Argentino de Quilmes will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 4. Castano S. 2. Pedrosa G. 6. Alegre Rojas G. 3. Nadalin L. 8. Escalante L. 5. Vega M. 10. Maidana C. 11. Cipresso L. 7. Mino B. 9. Torancio E.
1. Mieres A. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Rojas I. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Lugo K. 8. Breccia R. 5. Ferro G. 10. Anriquez D. 11. Silva D. 7. Perez F. 9. Auteri S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Alegre Rojas G. ⚽,
45', Auteri S. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
45', Silva D. ↓, Hernandez B. ↑,
45+1', Ferro G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', Perez F. 🟨,
60', Alegre Rojas G. 🟨,
60', Mino B. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
61', Breccia R. ↓, Jimenez C. ↑,
61', Lugo K. ↓, Aguilera U. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Torancio E. ⚽,
70', Roberts D. 🟨,
71', Torancio E. 🟨,
71', Diaz F. 🟨,
72', Maidana C. ↓, Guzman M. ↑,
72', Torancio E. ↓, Ortiz A. ↑,
76', Ferro G. 🟨,
82', Anriquez D. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
82', Cipresso L. ↓, Di Marco V. ↑,
82', Vega M. ↓, Escalante L. ↑,
90+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 21).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3.
In recent matches, Argentino de Quilmes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Fénix's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Argentino de Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Argentino de Quilmes is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
Argentina
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